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RazorStar

Week 16 Playoff Scenarios

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9. Carolina Panthers

Potential Seeds: 6

 

The Panthers really needed that win against New Orleans on monday. They still have a very slim shot, but they need a lot of help.

 

1. Win out, beating Atlanta and New Orleans at New Orleans.

2. Have the Vikings lose out. A single win or tie by the Vikings will eliminate them.

3. Have the Eagles and Redskins lose in week 16, then have the Eagles beat the Skins in week 17.

 

If all that happens, boom, the Panthers somehow get to be the 6 seed after losing 5 straight games in the second half of the season. Needless to say, that is extremely unlikely.

 

8. Washington Redskins

Potential Seeds: 4, 5, 6

 

It’s sort of amazing that we’re still talking about the Skins as a potential playoff candidate even with all of their injuries, but the NFC keeps leaving the door open. They have tiebreakers on the Panthers, Seahawks, and Vikings so if it does come down to it they are in a favourable position. They can even take the NFC East by winning out and having Dallas lose out. Losing to the Eagles in week 17 will eliminate them from postseason contention regardless of what they do in week 16. Winning out will not guarantee them a playoff spot, they either need the VIkings to lose a game, Dallas to lose out, or Seattle to lose to the Cardinals (losing to the Chiefs wouldn’t help tiebreakers)

 

7. Philadelphia Eagles

Potential Seeds: 4, 5, 6

 

Philly is a very similar position to Washington. Losing to the Skins in week 17 will eliminate them from the postseason no matter what they do, so that game is a must win for both squads. However winning out does give them a fair shot. They don’t control their destiny and need some help, but it’s the same situation as the Redskins. Dallas losing out would give them the division, the Vikings losing one would get them in as the 6, or they would need the Seahawks to lose out to sneak in. Losing in week 16 wouldn’t be a death sentence, but they would need the Vikings to lose out and the Panthers to lose a game to stay alive since they lost H2H to both the Vikings and Panthers, and the Seahawks have the conference game tiebreaker on them.

 

6. Minnesota Vikings

Potential Seed: 5, 6

 

The Vikings control their own destiny, and simply winning out would be enough to get in at 9-6-1. A single loss isn’t disastrous, as they still have good tiebreakers, but two losses would require a miracle to sneak in (Washington and Philly would have to tie, and Carolina would need to lose once more). They’re very likely to remain in the postseason, even though they do have two divisional games on the horizon.

 

5. Seattle Seahawks

Potential Seed: 5, 6

 

The Seahawks had a great opportunity to win and guarantee a playoff spot, but now they need some help. Well help to guarantee their spot, they are still in amazing position. A win will keep them in the playoffs. Two losses… then they need some help. The Redskins have the tiebreaker if they both go 8-8. The Vikings would need to lose out to go below .500 if that happened. If the Eagles win week 17 and go 8-8, they’ll still sneak in thanks to tiebreakers. If Dallas loses out, and either the Eagles or Redskins win the division at 9-7, Seattle will get in thanks to good tiebreakers on Dallas, who will knock off any East teams at 8-8 with divisional tiebreakers. The situation gets really messy if ties are involved, so Seattle fans are just praying they get the win against KC or Arizona and not have to worry about all this nonsense.

 

4. Dallas Cowboys

Potential Seeds: 3, 4, 5, 6

 

If the Cowboys win they guarantee at least the 4 seed. If they win out and the Bears lose out, they’ll grab the three seed based on Conference game tiebreakers. If they lose out, then things get interesting. They’ll still win the division if both the Eagles and Redskins lose week 16, because they’d have the tiebreaker on either of them, but if either of them wins out, the Cowboys are looking at a wildcard berth. The Vikings can better them with a win, and the Seahawks are guaranteed a higher spot than them thanks to the H2H victory earlier in the season. They’d still be alive if the Vikings got a tie and a loss, but a single win from the Vikings would dash their hopes.

 

3. Y-Chicago Bears

Potential Seeds: 1, 2, 3, 4

 

The bears locked up a divisional berth with a win last week, and thanks to a Rams loss, they are in striking distance of the 2nd seed, and a miracle away from the first seed. A win in any capacity guarantees the third seed at a minimum. A Dallas loss will do the same. If they win one more game than the Rams do, they’ll sneak into the second seed. And in the best case scenario where they win out, the Saints lose out, and the Rams lose at least one game, they’ll take home field advantage thanks to their superior conference record.

 

2. Y-Los Angeles Rams

Potential Seed 1, 2, 3

 

If the Rams want the number 1 seed, they have to win out and have the Saints lose out. No other option will get them there. If they lose one more game than the Bears they’ll drop to the 3rd seed. And if they stay the course, win out and the Saints win at least one game, they’ll settle in at the second seed. The Rams are playing for a bye but they’ve been flat these past few weeks.

 

1. Y- New Orleans Saints

Potential Seeds: 1, 2, 3

 

The Saints have their division locked up already, but they need to win to guarantee the first seed. If they lose out, depending on the Bears and Rams they could fall all the way to the third seed, and having to play a divisional round game in Soldier Field sounds like a recipe for disaster. All they need a single win though, so the odds are in their favour.

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Thanks for posting all this, Razor. I've been trying to figure out what week 17 game is most likely to be flexed to Sunday night. I guess Colts/Titans if the winner gets the #6 seed?

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The Colts/Titans and Eagles/Redskins would be the most likely games to be in that flex spot. The Browns / Ravens might be a longshot since the Ravens affect the chances of so many other teams.

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I have to imagine either Baltimore will lose at LAC or Pittsburgh will lose at NO, if not both this week(just need one of them to lose to control our destiny for the 6 seed), and surely we can take care of business vs a Josh Johnson led Redskins team(if not obviously don't belong anywhere near the postseason). Having to beat Andrew Luck to get in to the playoffs in week 17, if that does end up being the case, is probably the tallest task you can ask of this Titans team. Would rather play pretty much any other team than the Colts to have to get in. Luck just owns the Titans soul.

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The Titans are a very interesting team. While they do not control their own destiny, if things fall a certain way, they could still be looking at a first round bye this year. Granted that would take a lot of finagling, but assuming they win out, all they need is a Baltimore loss at some point, thanks a crucial week 17 matchup between them and the Colts. Winning out, having the AFC North champion finish with less that 10 wins, having the Texans lose out and the Patriots losing a game would put them in the second seed thanks to H2H with the Patriots.

the Titans are never interesting. theyll lose saturday anyway

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On 12/19/2018 at 7:04 AM, PhilElliot said:

the Titans are never interesting. theyll lose saturday anyway

Another wrong prediction from the king of them.

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After the saturday and the sunday morning games:

The Browns are eliminated because they didn't get the help they needed.

The Dolphins are eliminated by virtue of their loss to the Jaguars

The Panthers are eliminated by virtue of their loss to the Falcons.

The Redskins are eliminated by losing and the Eagles and Vikings winning.

---

The Cowboys clinched the NFC East with a victory

The Patriots clinched the AFC East with a win (dolphins loss too), and are currently frontrunners for the second seed

If the Steelers lose, the Titans/Colts game week 17 becomes a win and in for both squads.

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Well all the teams current in the hunt or in the postseason have played their games this week, which means I'll crank out something for Week 17 sometime soon.

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