Cherry Grades The First Round: Your Host Is A Dick

[Cherry 1,302]

Since my rankings were questioned because I had some perceived lesser players over other “better” players on a blank slate. Carson Wentz being #38 does not mean he is a bust or not worth a first. Ezekiel Elliott being #86 does not mean he will be complete shit regardless of where he went. These are baseline rankings based on my belief in their talent without factoring in each players unique situation. So without further bitching, here is my pick-by-pick analysis of the first round. These are my predictions as to what the future will hold for each individual prospect along with my thoughts on their fits for each team. Let's do this shit.

 

Feel free to comment your thoughts and questions, and don't refrain from joining in on the projections. Even if it is just guessing where your team's selection will end up in a few years, I'd love to hear the different opinions.

 

 

 

Rams pick #1. Jared Goff. QB. Cal.

 

Cherry's board ranking: #18

 

Breakdown: Goff is the best fit for the Rams here at #1. They traded up to the top pick in the draft and they can't afford to take upside here. The Rams are a QB away from being dangerous in the NFC West, and Goff pushes them over the edge here. He's a very talented guy with the mind to lead an NFL offense from day one. He's instinctive in the pocket and can sense when pressure is closing in. He has a rare combination of smarts and arm talent that is highly coveted at the next level.

 

Year One Projection: 302 of 480. 3629 yards. 28 TDs to 13 INTs. 65 rushes for 401 yards and 3 TDs.

 

Career Projection: Goff will likely never hang in the same category as a guy like Peyton Manning or Tom Brady. I think he will fall short of becoming an all-time great, but he could hang in the upper echelon of QBs with guys like Tony Romo and Drew Brees. Goff is the safest QB pick in this draft, and I think his floor is incredibly high. He won't be donning a HoF jacket anytime soon, but I think Goff is the right man to lead the Rams into a new era as they come to Los Angeles. He will be the Rams starter for the next 10-15 years.

 

 

Eagles pick #2. Carson Wentz. QB. NDSU.

 

Cherry's board ranking: #38

 

Breakdown: I don't like the fit at all. I think the Eagles really shot themselves in the foot by taking Wentz so early, especially with Jason Peters in the twilight of his career. Wentz has an absolutely incredible arm, and the accuracy of a truly great quarterback. I don't know if I've ever seen a guy with the ability to put it exactly where he wants it like I've seen with Wentz. He has huge upside due to this, but right now he is an unfinished product. His ability to go through his reads quickly is definitely lacking, and I think he still has a lot of growing to do in terms of pocket awareness. If he goes to a team like the Cowboys with a great OL and a solid running game to help, I think he could blossom. But it really worries me that he is being thrown into the fire with a team that is one of the least talented in the NFL.

 

Year One Projection: 344 of 521. 3982 yards. 33 TDs to 24 INTs. 37 rushes for 123 yards. 1 TD.

 

Career Projection: Wentz has absolutely insane upside as a passer. But I don't see him reaching his full potential on the Eagles. I think he will be the starter for 4 or 5 years and continue to be viewed as a prospect who is just around the corner from being the next great thing. He will put up decent but turnover prone stats in Philly, and eventually be sent out of town with this regime after failing to consistently do damage in the playoffs. He will get a job as a starter somewhere else and either run his career into the ground through the same issues with Philly, or get a talented cast of linemen that can protect him and let him do his thing. If he finds a team with a good line or Philly bulks up to protect him I expect great things from Wentz. The wait will be a while though.

 

Chargers Pick #3. Joey Bosa. DE/OLB. Ohio State.

 

Cherry's board ranking: #46

 

Breakdown: I don't buy into the Bosa hype, and I don't know about this fit. If the Chargers run a 4-3 defense with Bosa as a 4-3 DE who sets the edge in the run game, I'm not as mad about this pick. But he is not going to be a guy you would want put out there as a 3-4 OLB. Bosa is lacking pass rushing technique and speed in my opinion, and he seems like too much of a tweener to do damage in general. If he bulks up and plays only 4-3 DE there is hope. Otherwise it seems like a waste of a pick. Jalen Ramsey's shadow is going to be hanging over Bosa for a long time.

 

Year One Projection: 37 tackles. 2 sacks. 5 TFLs.

 

Career Projection: Bosa is a project. People love his frame and potential, but I just don't see it working out unless he adds substantial weight and plays only one role. I think Bosa will end up sticking on the Chargers for several years as a vast underachiever before being let go in free agency. He may spark interest as a former #3 overall pick, but I think very few teams will want to snatch him up. He'll likely sign a small 2/8m prove it contract for a team or two and fade off draft history.

 

Cowboys Pick #4. Ezekiel Elliott. RB. Ohio State.

 

Cherry's board ranking: #86

 

Breakdown: I don't like the pick. Not because of where I have Elliott on my board, necessarily, but because how little it does to actually change what is going on in Dallas. Morris behind that offensive line would have done plenty fine, so I don't see the purpose of burning a pick that high on a running back. Jalen Ramsey or even DeForest Buckner is a much better option at #4, and I think the Cowboys seriously messed this up.

 

Year One Projection: 345 for 1552 yards and 18 TDs. 43 receptions for 424 yards and 3 TDs.

 

Career Projection: Ezekiel Elliott could very well go down as one of the best running backs of all time. I don't think this is because of his talent or his actual running ability. The system Ezekiel Elliott is coming into is an incredibly favorable system that will allow him to just hit the hole and go. He will get openings that you could drive a truck through and will dominate because of it. The Cowboys and nearly every media source will pat themselves on the back for calling Elliott the next Adrian Peterson or LaDainian Tomlinson. If he tries to strike it rich in free agency or that line in Dallas deteriorates he will average 3.5 a carry for the rest of his career and disappear. Expect 4-5 years of "greatness" followed by an epic collapse.

 

Jags pick #5. Jalen Ramsey. CB/S. Florida State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #2

 

Breakdown: Absolutely great pick for the Jaguars. They stayed put and got arguably the safest and best talent in the draft. With Myles Jack knee injury scaring teams off and Tunsil having concerns with marijuana, I think a lot of the mainstream media will applaud this decision. Jalen Ramsey will step in and perform at a pro bowler level, if not at an all-pro level. He can take over at safety if he has to, or could play opposite of Amukamara. No matter what happens through the rest of the draft for the Jags, the Jalen pick automatically gives them one of the better drafts in the NFL this year.

 

Year One Projection: 56 tackles. 5 INTs. 3 FFs. 1 sack. Lives up to hype in coverage.

 

Career Projection: Ramsey will burst onto the scene and take over as one of the most dominant defensive backs in the league on day one. I think he will play cornerback, and while I think he is more effective at safety, I think he will prove himself to be one of the best in the business regardless. He will be a pro bowler pretty much every year barring injury or an odd off year. Expect him to be in the conversation for Canton as he will go down as one of the best defensive backs in years.

 

Ravens pick #6. Ronnie Stanley. OT. Notre Dame.

 

Cherry's board ranking: #3

 

Breakdown: An absolute beast from day one. He has great pass protection ability due to his agile feet and lateral quickness. He has a nice pop to keep defenders at range and if someone tries to bullrush he can lock them up and jam them. He's not as good of a run blocker as Tunsil or Decker, in my opinion, but I think he is the most technically polished linemen in this class, and one of the safest picks in the class. I don't know what will happen position-wise for the Ravens, as Eugene Monroe still holds the left tackle job. Stanley could spend some time at RT and then shift over after Monroe leaves.

 

Year One Projection: Starts at RT. Cements himself as a top 10 OT in the NFL.

 

Career Projection: I think Stanley will be a subtle under-the-radar kind of guy for most of his career. I think he will take a Joe Thomas like run through the NFL. He'll be a guy who people don't truly recognize for his talent until he is gone. A consistent top 10 OT who dominates week in and week out despite not being the most powerful blocker or the biggest icon. I don't know if it will be enough to earn him a jacket, but he will definitely be in the conversation after he spends 12 or so years protecting the blindside of the Ravens QBs.

 

49ers select #7. DeForest Buckner. DE. Oregon.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #17

 

Breakdown: I don't know how to feel about Buckner in a 3-4 defense as an end. I thought Buckner fit better as a 4-3 DE who set the edge in the run game but also had the power and athleticism to rush the passer consistently. I can see the appeal due to the size, but I don't think he is a good choice for that system. Regardless, Chip gets his duck and the 49ers get a pretty talented guy. I'm not too unhappy with this pick.

 

Year One Projection: 48 tackles. 9 TFLs. 6 sacks. 2 FFs.

 

Career Projection: While I don't like the decision to place him in a 3-4 defense, I think Buckner will still perform decent and have a solid career at the next level. He will be an above average starter who will be remembered a few years down the line as one of the better players on a team, and one of the underrated cornerstones. But Buckner will never reach his full potential. People will question if he was really worth the #7 pick. I think he'll come close to that value, even if he doesn't truly live up to the hype.

 

Titans select #8. Jack Conklin. OT. Michigan State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #44

 

Breakdown: I don't like the pick. I don't think Conklin is physical enough in the run game to be worth the #8 pick, and I don't think he has the athletic upside or the technique to be taken this high. People say he has a nasty mean streak and plays with a particular grit to him, but I raise you one higher with Taylor Decker. Decker likely would've been available there at #15, and the Titans did damage themselves a bit going this high on a guy who I personally have as my #4 tackle on my board. He's not a natural fit for RT like Decker, and I doubt they move Lewan to suit him.

 

Year One Projection: Shifts to RT. Average to below average RT.

 

Career Projection: If Lewan stays on that left side I think Conklin's career is in serious jeopardy early on. I don't know if he will build up the technique or power to handle people effectively in the run game, and I don't know if he will get a new contract after his rookie one expires. If he leaves to go play LT somewhere else, I could see a career rebirth and a potential pro bowl appearance or two. If not I think Conklin will go down as a guy who just didn't fit what a team wanted to do.

 

Bears select #9. Leonard Floyd. OLB. Georgia.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #104. (6th rounder)

 

Breakdown: Absolutely terrible pick. Floyd going in the top ten made me vomit a little bit in my mouth. If he was taken to play as a 4-3 OLB I would have him much higher, but as a 3-4 OLB he is way too easy to push around. He has great get off speed but it doesn't matter when he gets walled off by a tackle immediately. Whatever athleticism and potential he has is going to need to be put to it's maximum use if he wants to end up anywhere close to decent. Bears made the fuck-up of the night taking Floyd.

 

Year One Projection: 23 tackles. 2 sacks. 3 TFLs.

 

Career Projection: Floyd will go one of two ways, I think. He will either ride in on his potential and dominate from day one like Aldon Smith, and slowly fade off. Or he will be a complete and utter pile of shit. I'm betting on pile of shit. Floyd will be out of the NFL in 3 years barring something insane.

 

Giants select #10. Eli Apple. CB. Ohio State.

 

Cherry's Board Rankings: #39

 

Breakdown: Don't let the board ranking fool you. I have a lot of faith in Eli Apple to be one of the better corners in this draft, and I think he will be consistent starter for most of his career. He's a physical and powerful cornerback with great pop at the line of scrimmage. He's going to jam up guys and throw off routes a lot at the next level. My biggest concerns are his tackling ability, which seemed a bit lacking, and his problem with getting too handsy so to speak when he is running side by side with a guy. He is looking to disrupt receivers down the field instead of play the ball and stop the reception. The constant shoving and pushing down the field will result in some unwanted DPI calls that will take a lot of yardage off the distance to the endzone. Giants made a solid pick nonetheless.

 

Year One Projection: 36 tackles. 4 INTs. 1 FF. Middle of the road CB.

 

Career Projection: I don't think Apple will go down as being worth the pick at #10. He will be a solid #2 corner for 6-8 years, and I think his name will have some fond memories attached to it for Giants fans, but long-term I don't see him becoming a true superstar. Don't be shocked to see a few guys still wearing Apple jerseys a decade or two from now though.

 

Bucs select #11. Vernon Hargreaves III. CB. Florida.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #14

 

Breakdown: I love this pick for the Bucs. They needed help at safety a little bit more, but taking arguably the best corner in this draft at #11 as well as snagging an extra pick from the Bears along the way is an absolutely great move. Hargreaves a top of the line athlete and what he lacks in size he makes up for with great instincts and ability to play on the ball. He will step in as a day one starter across from Brent Grimes and be a playmaker from the first snap.

 

Year One Projection: 41 tackles. 8 INTs. Top 20 CB. Potential Pro Bowler.

 

Career Projection: I think Hargreaves will be on the Bucs for a while. He will put up flashy highlights and high interception totals, but will sometimes be a liability in coverage, especially against bigger receivers who can push him around more. He will be a fan favorite, even if he has a few mind-boggling mistakes come and go. I expect Hargreaves to be one of the flashiest and most memorable cornerbacks in years, but he won't reach HoF discussion due to his poor tackling and underwhelming physique.

 

Saints select #12. Sheldon Rankins. DT. Louisville.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #60

 

Breakdown: Not a fan of this pick at all. The Saints have much more urgent needs at other positions. Cornerback is a huge one. William Jackson III is the better choice here to pair across from Delvin Breaux, but the Saints wanted to get another big body inside. I just don't see the reason to go DT again after signing Nick Fairley to play across from John Jenkins. Rankins isn't necessarily a terrible pick based around the potential upgrade over Jenkins, but I still don't think it's smart to draft him this early.

 

Year One Projection: 19 tackles. 2 TFLs. 1 sack.

 

Career Projection: I think Rankins will fall short as a Saint and end up leaving in free agency or potentially even being cut. However, I wouldn't be shocked if he latches on with another team. If he does end up staying on the Saints he will likely be a backup or an in-and-out starter beside Fairley. Rankins will either fade out after 4-7 years or hang around as a depth guy until his early 30s.

 

Dolphins select #13. Laremy Tunsil. OT. Ole Miss.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #37

 

Breakdown: Is Branden Albert out now? The Dolphins just spent a first round pick on Ja'Wuan James two years ago, and I doubt they'd be kicking him out of his spot at RT to put in Laremy Tunsil. I just personally don't see the point in taking Tunsil for the Dolphins. Arguably the most talented player on the board at this point according to most media analysts, I doubt Tunsil lives up to the hype. Miami is definitely not the culture I'd want this guy in either. The past shows a pretty dicey group of guys in Miami.

 

Year One Projection: Takes LT job from Albert on hype alone. Underachieves in first year. Middle of the road tackle.

 

Career Projection: This is a tough one, depending on if Tunsil lives up to expectations and hype. I would probably say he falls short of what many people are expecting. He'll be a solid tackle for the better part of a decade and likely earn a couple pro bowl nods, but I don't know if he will do that in Miami or if it will take a relocation to get to the next level. I definitely think he will have a weaker career than Ronnie Stanley though.

 

Raiders select #14. Karl Joseph. S. West Virginia.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #13

 

Breakdown: This is an absolutely stellar pick by the Raiders. If they were scared off by the medical risks of Ragland and Jack, or worried about Nkemdiche's potential off the field issues, the Raiders got one of the next best options for a stout defender. Joseph will step in as a day one starter assuming he is healthy, and will immediately become the second best player on that defense behind Khalil Mack. Joseph is an absolute missile coming into the box, and is athletic enough to play good coverage while being a terrifying presence looming over the top. I didn't expect my boy to go so early, but the Raiders scooped up a hell of a player in Karl.

 

Year One Projection: 89 tackles. 4 INTs. 5 FFs. Top 10 safety by the end of the year.

 

Career Projection: Karl Joseph will be a key to that Raiders defense for years to come. Barring a huge injury setting him back, Joseph will be one of the best safeties to come out in the past 5 years, and will be an imposing force on everyone hoping to go over the top. I don't know if I could say he'll be an all-pro, but I think he will definitely be in the mix as a consistent pro-bowler. Raiders got the heir to Charles Woodson's throne.

 

Browns select #15. Corey Coleman. WR. Baylor.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #45

 

Breakdown: I'm not too opposed to the decision to draft Corey Coleman here. The Browns need a star at WR, and Corey Coleman has a lot of athletic ability. However, I think the pick could've been spent better, particularly to get Paxton Lynch. Even at WR I don't know about Coleman being the best option. Treadwell is a much better #1 target, and given the situation with Josh Gordon I think the Browns should be looking for a #1 wideout, not a #2. Coleman isn't a bad decision here, but I just don't think he is worth #15. He's undersized and mostly maxed out as a prospect.

 

Year One Projection: 79 receptions for 1123 yards and 11 TDs.

 

Career Projection: I think Corey Coleman will hang around in Cleveland for a while, but I don't think he will ever emerge as the true star you would expect from a guy who is the first receiver taken in a receiver heavy class, especially one who goes #15 overall. The Browns trust their board and see him as the best WR prospect, but I'm still incredibly mixed on the decision. He will continue to pull out solid #2 receiver numbers for 6-8 years and then decline quickly as his body ages and he slows down. Browns will be happy with the production they get out of this pick, but I personally believe it could have been spent better.

 

Lions select #16. Taylor Decker. OT. Ohio State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #7

 

Breakdown: A simple but effective pick for the Lions. I don't like the idea of kicking Riley Reiff over to RT and planting Decker as the LT. A lot of teams want a LT in the first round and the media loves to paint this picture of an LT being so much more valuable. But I believe if Decker goes to the RT spot like he should he will be in the running to become an all-pro at his position. He's an absolute mauler and a complete force in the run game.

 

Year One Projection: Immediate impact at RT. Dominant in run game. Top 5 RT as a rookie. Hailed as best rookie linemen in this class.

 

Career Projection: Decker has the toughness and grit to play a long time in the NFL. He is powerful guy who can drive a LB twenty yards down the field to open up a hole if he wants to. He's aggressive and plays to the whistle on every down. The Lions got their right side set for the next 10 years and have built a hell of a group for Ameer Abdullah to run behind. Expect a potential all-pro recognition and many pro bowl appearances.

 

Falcons select #17. Keanu Neal. S. Florida.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #50

 

Breakdown: I'm not too excited about this pick. I had Vonn Bell and Jeremy Cash higher than Keanu Neal, and I think the Falcons would've been better off taking a player at LB or D-line instead. Neal isn't immaculate in any particular part of his game, and needs to work on his tackling, but he could pan out fine here to become a starter for several years with the Falcons.

 

Year One Projection: 72 tackles. 2 INTs. 1 FF. Average to below average starter.

 

Career Projection: Keanu Neal isn't going to wow you. He isn't the next great defensive back or a guy who will talked about when he is gone. He will be a middle of the road starter who was somewhat consistent for a team over several years. I think he will be a solid player, but I don't think he will be one of the guys that we look back on and say "Wow, he was something to watch wasn't he?". Expect an underrated but rather average career.

 

Colts select #18. Ryan Kelly. C. Alabama

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #29

 

Breakdown: The more I dove into tape on Ryan Kelly the more I really came to appreciate the kid. He is an absolute monster in the run game and holds his own well in the passing game. He gets underneath leverage and drives back blockers with force that is rare to see for a college center. Due to the lack of value in the position at center, I had Kelly a little bit lower on my board than I like to admit. If he showcased that kind of consistency at left tackle or something with more value, he would be a top 3 player. But alas, he is a center. Yay Grigson finally got a good first round pick!

 

Year One Projection: Great from the start. Top 10 center in his rookie year. Could make a push for top 5, but it's close.

 

Career Projection: Assuming the Colts don't let him go at the end of his rookie contract, Kelly will be an anchor for that line for a long time. He has the physical toughness and mean streak that you want in a guy playing interior offensive line. His ceiling is about where he is right now already, but I wouldn't be shocked if we see some buzz for him in a jacket one day. He's an absolute monster and will be regarded as one of the best centers to come through the game by the time his career is over. The definition of consistency.

 

Bills select #19. Shaq Lawson. DE. Clemson.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #12

 

Breakdown: An absolutely outstanding pick by Rex Ryan. Mario Williams left for what he believed to be greener pastures, and the Bills needed a solid replacement at DE. While I thought there could be a bite for Ragland or Jack due to their impressive talent, or potentially even a Nkemdiche or Spence pick, Ryan took one of the best 4-3 DEs in this class with Lawson. Lawson isn't a flashy player. He won't put up eye-popping numbers on a consistent basis, but he is one of the most well-refined pass-rushers in this class, especially from his scheme. He's a hand in the dirt kind of guy with solid burst and a great set of moves that include a swim and spin that will leave tackles in the dust.

 

Year One Projection: 40 tackles. 12 sacks. 12 TFLs. 2 FFs.

 

Career Projection: Shaq very well could come out of this class as the best pass rusher. I think he will dominate for at least 7 years with one of the most well-rounded skill sets we've seen in a long time. I think he passes 100 career sacks by the time it's all said and done, and I think he will be one of the most well-recognized guys from this class in terms of what he panned out as. Expect multiple pro bowl appearances.

 

Jets select #20. Darron Lee. LB. OSU.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #10

 

Breakdown: I'm mixed on this pick. David Harris is definitely in the twilight of his career, but I would have assumed that Todd Bowles would prefer the much more versatile Myles Jack or the much more powerful Reggie Ragland. The health risks must have pushed them far down the boards, and left the potentially golden Darron Lee sitting in their laps though. Lee is a mixture of athleticism, pass coverage skills, and solid tackling. He is probably the safest linebacker in this class with injuries and health concerns dropping the rest of the guys. I think he is a great selection here by a team that needs that David Harris replacement.

 

Year One Projection: 65 tackles. 4 INTs. 2 FFs.

 

Career Projection: I'm very mixed on how Lee's career will end up. It all depends on how the Jets use him. If they use him as a 3-4 ILB who plays a lot of pass coverage and middle of the field defense I feel very comfortable in saying that Lee will make a couple pro bowls and be remembered as one of the better players in this class. If they try to scoot him in at 3-4 OLB or as a run-stuffing 3-4 ILB I'm gonna have a much harder time saying that. I feel pretty comfortable with the idea that they're just looking to use him as a replacement for Harris, so let's go with the upside. Couple pro bowls. A convincing argument as one of the better linebackers in the draft over the past several years. A place in the hearts of many Jets fans.

 

Texans select #21. Will Fuller. WR. Notre Dame.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #19

 

Breakdown: I love this pick for the Texans. Coleman is off the board, and the best #2 WR fit after Coleman is Fuller right here. While Hopkins can go up and get it over a defensive back, Fuller adds a new layer of danger to a passing attack that is rapidly evolving. He can roast a defense over the top with blazing fast speed, and his short routes aren't too shabby. He is a very well-rounded #2 receiver even though he does occasionally struggle with drop issues. I think Fuller is an excellent selection for the Texans here.

 

Year One Projection: 68 receptions for 897 yards and 7 TDs.

 

Career Projection: I think Fuller will have a somewhat fruitful career despite making a living as a #2 wideout. He should play for a solid number of years and I wouldn't be shocked if he gets paid like a #1 wideout when/if he hits the market. His drop issues aren't bad enough to really scare me, and I think he will be recognized as the Robin to DeAndre's Batman. Expect an exciting and dynamic passing attack in Houston which sees Fuller come out of his career as one of the better speed deep threats in the past decade.

 

Redskins select #22. Josh Doctson. WR. TCU.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #30

 

Breakdown: While I prefer a few guys over Doctson, Doctson has borderline first round talent and arguably the most potential of any receiver in this class. He has a decent frame and height, and is much faster than Treadwell is. He can go up and get the ball, and can do a lot of damage as a #1 WR. I don't think he is ready to be a star yet, but in time he could blossom into a legitimate star wideout. He needs to practice his route running a bit and get better with his hands, but he has all the physical tools you like in a #1 WR.

 

Year One Projection: 85 receptions for 1008 yards and 10 TDs.

 

Career Projection: I don't think Doctson will be quite the star that Michael Thomas or Laquon Treadwell will be as a #1 wideout, but I think he will receive his fair share of targets from a receiver starved Redskins offense. Expect huge numbers over the next several years, even if Doctson isn't viewed as a top 5 wideout across the league. I wouldn't be shocked if he earns a pro bowl appearance at least once or twice in his career solely due to the statistical output he will have as the Skins #1 guy.

 

Vikings select #23. Laquon Treadwell. WR. Ole Miss.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #22

 

Breakdown: I like this pick for the Vikings, and I think they got what is potentially that best #1 WR in the draft. He is a lot more polished than Michael Thomas and Josh Doctson coming out. His slow 40 time probably scared off a lot of teams, but the Vikings must be confident in his ability to create separation with his great hands and ball skills. He reminds me a lot of Dez Bryant, though he isn't as good of an athlete as Dez. I wouldn't be shocked if he does damage right away in Minnesota. He'll be the #1 target from the first day. Expect a lot of redzone jump balls.

 

Year One Projection: 82 receptions for 1112 yards and 14 TDs.

 

Career Projection: Treadwell isn't going to be an all-pro or top 3 WR. But he will be a big bodied #1 guy who can go up and get it consistently for a team for quite a while. He will put up solid stats in Minnesota, and if Teddy Bridgewater continues to develop we could see him cross the 100 reception threshold and get into talk of being a top 5 guy. Treadwell's career path is largely stable regardless of where he goes. He doesn't have a spot with the greatest players in history waiting on him, but he will be a hell of a player for a decent amount of time. Keep your Treadwell jersey close, Vikings fans.

 

Bengals select #24. William Jackson III. CB. Houston.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #9

 

Breakdown: I don't like the pick. The Bengals have a huge need at wideout and I think Michael Thomas fits the bill easily as a huge high upside pick. But I can't argue too much against taking a player that is in my opinion the best corner in the draft. WJ3 is a physical corner who plays great press coverage, has good recovery speed, and will have an impact on every down. He's also a ball hawk to boot. It seems like every year the Bengals take a corner. Let's hope they don't fuck this one up in their farm system. Should be a day one starter.

 

Year One Projection: 48 tackles. 7 INTs. 2 FFs. Top 15 corner as a rookie, maybe higher. Pro bowl appearance.

 

Career Projection: William Jackson III very well could be the next Revis. I don't have him pegged as high as I did Marcus Peters, but he is very close to being in that area. I think he will have to continue to develop his game on deeper routes to prevent being burnt over the top when he doesn't have safety help, but if he does that I foresee a potential set of all-pro selections. Expect a dominant corner who will hold onto the title as one of the league's best corners for the next 6-10 years. A run for Canton isn't too much of a stretch if he lives up to the potential and physical tools he possesses, though it may be a bit early to bet on that.

 

Steelers select #25. Artie Burns. CB. Miami.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #53

 

Breakdown: I'm not the biggest Artie Burns fan. I understand the hype behind him. He has good athleticism and a lot of potential, but he has some pretty severe tackling issues and isn't as good in coverage as most of the other top tier corners in this class. I'm not necessarily upset with the Steelers pick here, but I think there were options here. Artie Burns is a need pick more than a value pick, and I'm not sure if it's worth betting on that upside in the first round.

 

First Year Projection: 23 tackles. 1 INT. Part-time starter. Below average cornerback with limited snaps.

 

Career Projection: I think once Burns fills out his game and becomes a more technically sound player he will be an average starter, but right now I think he needs to focus on building his tool-set and studying the game. He will eventually be in the running for a #1 cornerback spot, though I think he is a better fit as a decent #2. He won't be good at covering the top receivers each week, I'll leave it at that. He could leave Pittsburgh after his rookie contract is up and sign a somewhat big deal elsewhere to be a #1 guy and disappoint in epic fashion.

 

Broncos select #26. Paxton Lynch. QB. Memphis.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #15

 

Breakdown: Elway knocked this shit out of the park. Lynch has the upside and talent to be the best quarterback in the draft. He has Osweiler's frame but has the athleticism to run and the power to sling it 70 yards flat footed. Lynch is incredibly careful with the ball, but teams seem to forget that. They're worried about his reads and his ability to adjust to a pro-style offense, but I think he beats out Sanchez for the starting job and takes over for Denver day one. He's a Flacco with wheels who is safer with the ball.

 

Year One Projection: 298 of 480. 3874 yards. 33 TDs to 12 INTs. 48 rushes for 289 yards and 3 TDs.

 

Career Projection: Lynch has the potential to be the best quarterback in NFL history from a skill set perspective. He has an absolute cannon but doesn't abuse it. He throws a near perfect deep ball that either lands on the money or ends up out of the range of a lurking DB. His short game isn't pretty or polished yet, but he has the ability to throw into tight windows over the middle and hit his target consistently. The biggest lurking question is his ability to capitalize on his potential. I'll be hopeful with my estimation. Two or three rings, multiple pro bowls, and maybe one day a jacket.

 

Packers select #27. Kenny Clark. DT. UCLA.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #34

 

Breakdown: One of the better DT prospects in this class, Clark is a solid pass rusher up the gut but also has the size to clog up the gaps and stop a runner in their tracks. I don't agree with the decision to pass on Jack and Ragland here, as the Packers are in desperate need of an ILB, but I'm not too mad. Clark is a replacement on the inside after losing Raji, and he fits better than most as 3-4 DT.

 

Year One Projection: 39 tackles. 7 sacks. 10 TFLs. 1 FF.

 

Career Projection: This is a really tough one to predict. I have Clark rather high on my board for what I think his career will pan out to be. I don't think he will necessarily be bad, but I don't think he will be anything special either. I could see a pro bowl here or there, but it's far from a lock. He will an average to above average starter who will cement the interior D-line for at least 3-4 years with the Packers. Who knows if he'll stay after his contract is up though. He could go for the money and get paid big. I doubt the Packers would push super hard to resign him if he gets big offers. Think Olivier Vernon.

 

49ers select #28. Joshua Garnett. OG. Stanford.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #76

 

Breakdown: Garnett is a solid mauler for the interior line, but I don't like the pick here. He's the fourth OG on my board and isn't nearly talented enough to warrant a trade up for right here. He very well could have been there at #37 for the 49ers, and if not I'm pretty sure they could've gotten Whitehair or Westerman who are both talented day one starters at guard. Not a fan of the pick at all. I think Chip is back to his old ways as the GM moving up for players that nobody would otherwise take that high. Fuck that noise.

 

Year One Projection: Day one starter inside. Average to the highest degree.

 

Career Projection: I have Garnett graded as a potential starter, not a guaranteed starter. With that said, I wouldn't be shocked if Garnett stays in the league for several years as an okay player. He is nothing special and I don't expect much out of the pick. People will think the pick could've been used better when all is said and done, but who knows, the 49ers love the guy and maybe he will pan out different than I expect in their particular plans.

 

Cardinals select #29. Robert Nkemdiche. DT. Ole Miss.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #4

 

Breakdown: Falling due to the off the field issues, I think Nkemdiche landed in about as good of a spot as it could get in terms of team culture. My big concern is where the fuck to play him. He isn't a natural 3-4 DE and I don't think he is a good enough anchor to play as a 3-4 DT. But he could very well end up doing that and doing it well. I'm excited to see what he is used as. A pass-rushing 3-4 DT is definitely a unique move, but the Cardinals could be revolutionizing the 3-4 here. Nkemdiche has the skills to succeed anywhere inside if he is given freedom to just go cause destruction. I'm usually not an advocate of selecting certain pieces of tape to watch because they can be rather boring. Watch his Bama tape, though. He is the definition of havoc.

 

Year One Projection: 54 tackles. 14 sacks. 19 TFLs. 4 FFs. All-Pro second team.

 

Career Projection: I think Nkemdiche will end up as one of the most disruptive DTs to ever come through the league. He has the ability to penetrate the line and blow up plays in the backfield on every single down. As long as he keeps his shit clean and stays out of trouble I wouldn't be shocked if he makes a run towards Canton. He has the skill set to get him there, it is just a matter of living up to the potential on a down-to-down basis and keeping clean.

 

Panthers select #30. Vernon Butler. DE/DT. Louisiana Tech

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #61

 

Breakdown: I'm not a fan of this pick at all. The Panthers already have Short and Lotuelelei inside, and I don't think Butler fits well as a 4-3 DE. Butler isn't naturally talented enough to be worth this high of a pick, in my opinion, and I think the Panthers would have been much better off going with an offensive linemen like Whitehair or a safety like Vonn Bell. Hell, I wouldn't even have been mad at a TJ Green selection here due to the need.

 

Year One Projection: 18 tackles. 1 sack. 1 TFL. Occasional snaps at DT. Role player.

 

Career Projection: The fact that Short and Lotuelelei are both on this line makes this incredibly murky to try to guess. I would say that Butler has the potential to be an on and off starter over the course of his career, but I don't think he will get significant looks in Carolina. He will be underwhelming his first 4 years before being cut, traded, or just entering free agency. When he enters free agency he will draw little interest but I think he will latch on with a team that he can actually fit into as a 3-4 DE or 4-3 DT starter. He will be average most of his career at best if he leaves Carolina, but otherwise he will be one of the worst picks in this first round in the long run.

 

Seahawks select #31. Germain Ifedi. OT. Texas A&M.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #64

 

Breakdown: I'm not a big Ifedi fan. I think he is a very limited prospect who has pretty bad issues with getting turned too much by edge rushers and struggles to keep up against the quick get off speed. He also can struggle with bull rushers at time by having his body raised too high and losing leverage.I don't like the pick but it is a need. The Hawks should have just gone best available instead of reaching on Ifedi though. He very well could have been there in the second round when they got on the clock again.

 

Year One Projection: Below average starter over Alvin Bailey at LT. Looks better than he is because Russ is magic.

 

Career Projection: I think Ifedi will stick as a starter for a couple years before being uprooted by a younger and stronger tackle who can hold up better in the power run game that Seattle prefers to run. He could bounce around for several more years as a spot starter for teams, but I don't think he will stick anywhere in particular for too long. He won't be a complete bust, but he will be seen as one of the underperformers from the first round of this draft.

 

 

This concludes my first round analysis on picks. Feel free to ask for particular players you may be interested in on day two and I will add them to this list. Once again I am happy to answer any questions that there may be about why I have players projected how I do. I'm not an expert on every team by any stretch, but I tried my best to evaluate the current situation every player is entering and weigh that into consideration. I can guarantee I wouldn't have Paxton in HoF talk if he didn't have a defending SB winning team around him to build on, along with some of the other bold career predictions.

Me after doing this for 5 hours, posting it at nearly 5 in the morning, and having it promptly deleted by new host.

[Favre4Ever+ 4,476]

You are awesome Cherry, good work.

I 'liked' the Clark pick, but man, it was so Ted Thompson it almost hurt. Not flashy but an extremely versatile player who could line up at a number of spots and be a contributor from Day 1. The Packers are also getting very familiar with Jim Mora and the UCLA program.

 

Ha. I am not sure if you mis-typed or something but if Clark finished with 7 sacks his rookie year, that will prove Thompson correct. Even though the Packers let Jack and Ragland go.... so did 30 other teams, so that makes me feel better. I am looking to add a guy like Beniquez Brown, Kentrell Brothers, or Josh Forrest on Day 2.

[Cherry 1,302]

You are awesome Cherry, good work.

 

I 'liked' the Clark pick, but man, it was so Ted Thompson it almost hurt. Not flashy but an extremely versatile player who could line up at a number of spots and be a contributor from Day 1. The Packers are also getting very familiar with Jim Mora and the UCLA program.

 

Ha. I am not sure if you mis-typed or something but if Clark finished with 7 sacks his rookie year, that will prove Thompson correct. Even though the Packers let Jack and Ragland go.... so did 30 other teams, so that makes me feel better. I am looking to add a guy like Beniquez Brown, Kentrell Brothers, or Josh Forrest on Day 2.

Thank you I try lol.

 

I liked the Clark pick if they were really that concerned with Jack and Ragland having health issues. But as you said it was the most Ted Thompson pick imaginable. Clark is a lot more versatile than a guy like Jarran Reed or Andrew Billings, and I think that's a large part of why he was the pick here. He's a solid pass rusher and can make splash plays here or there, but he's also a good anchor. I figured Jack or Ragland would be a lock though, and my stomach was thrown to shit after they took Clark. I really feel bad for the Packers. Failed to get Anthony or Perryman last year. Likely fail to get Jack or Ragland this year. Praying for a trade up.

 

Nope. 7 sacks. I think Clark will still be out there as a DT in non 3-4 packages and will be an almost every down type of guy. I think he's the new breed of 3-4 DT along with Nkemdiche. A guy who is explosive enough to do damage in the backfield rather than a big body who just blocks the inside.

 

Deion Jones might be a good fit at the back of the second. Really undeveloped talent right now but he is a great twitchy LB who can play solid in coverage and be a solid contributor in a 3-4 ILB position. If possible I'd say trade up for Jack though. That knee could be made of cardboard and I'd feel comfortable burning a high 2nd on him. His ceiling is limitless. The definition of a sideline to sideline LB.

[Thanatos 2,847]

Just gonna point out- as I seem to do every draft- that the Panthers haven't flat missed on a first round pick since the year 2000. (Jeff Otah in 08 had his career derailed due to injuries.) Media can say what they want, the Butler pick gives Gettleman leverage in talks with KK and Star. That's just how he works. Carolina will always take BPA, even we are all-but-loaded at the position.

Edited April 29, 2016 by Thanatos

[ATL_Predator+ 1,196]

Joseph

[Cherry 1,302]

Just gonna point out- as I seem to do every draft- that the Panthers haven't flat missed on a first round pick since the year 2000. (Jeff Otah in 08 had his career derailed due to injuries.) Media can say what they want, the Butler pick gives Gettleman leverage in talks with KK and Star. That's just how he works. Carolina will always take BPA, even we are all-but-loaded at the position.

History isn't taken into account when I grade these guys and project how their career pans out. As you said the media can say what they want but it does give Gentleman leverage. I think Short and Star stay together though, and Butler is the odd man out in this group. I'm not mad with the decision to go BPA, but I think Butler is far from the best option here. He wouldn't be a bad starter, but he isn't going to beat out Star or Short for the job in Carolina. If he does end up as the starting DT and one of the others signs a megadeal I think he will have an average career.

Edited April 29, 2016 by Chernobyl426

[Cherry 1,302]

Joseph

Best first round safety selected since Earl Thomas, if you put Ramsey as a CB. Absolute fucking beast.

[Favre4Ever+ 4,476]

Thank you I try lol.

 

I liked the Clark pick if they were really that concerned with Jack and Ragland having health issues. But as you said it was the most Ted Thompson pick imaginable. Clark is a lot more versatile than a guy like Jarran Reed or Andrew Billings, and I think that's a large part of why he was the pick here. He's a solid pass rusher and can make splash plays here or there, but he's also a good anchor. I figured Jack or Ragland would be a lock though, and my stomach was thrown to shit after they took Clark. I really feel bad for the Packers. Failed to get Anthony or Perryman last year. Likely fail to get Jack or Ragland this year. Praying for a trade up.

 

Nope. 7 sacks. I think Clark will still be out there as a DT in non 3-4 packages and will be an almost every down type of guy. I think he's the new breed of 3-4 DT along with Nkemdiche. A guy who is explosive enough to do damage in the backfield rather than a big body who just blocks the inside.

 

Deion Jones might be a good fit at the back of the second. Really undeveloped talent right now but he is a great twitchy LB who can play solid in coverage and be a solid contributor in a 3-4 ILB position. If possible I'd say trade up for Jack though. That knee could be made of cardboard and I'd feel comfortable burning a high 2nd on him. His ceiling is limitless. The definition of a sideline to sideline LB.

 

I have actually heard a lot of rumbling about Deion Jones the last few days. I have no idea how the board will fall, but he is definitely a guy who I didn't pay much attention to before that I am now.

[FartWaffles 1,857]

Cherruh, will you be doing the other rounds by any chance? Maybe a much more condensed version.

[Cherry 1,302]

Cherruh, will you be doing the other rounds by any chance? Maybe a much more condensed version.

 

No but I will do any prospects that you guys want

[FartWaffles 1,857]

No but I will do any prospects that you guys want

Well if you're taking suggestions, how about every Texans draft pick.

[Favre4Ever+ 4,476]

Or every Packers draft pick...

[Cherry 1,302]

Or both. I'll have them done in half an hour to 45 minutes.

[FartWaffles 1,857]

Or both. I'll have them done in half an hour to 45 minutes.

[Cherry 1,302]

Packers select #48. Jason Spriggs. OT. Indiana.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #82

 

Breakdown: I'm not the biggest believer in Spriggs, but I understand why there is a lot of buzz around him. He's a big-bodied guy who can wall off slower competition and keep guys locked up in the passing game. He has the prototype build for a LT, and really good measurables all-around. My biggest concerns with Spriggs come in the passing game. Spriggs is very unnatural with his feet, and when a guy dips around the edge with a lot of speed he struggles to keep up. He'll latch on too much as the guy tries to get around him and draw holding penalties. Unless a coach finds a way to tailor to him in the system I think he will be a bad match-up against a lot of the quicker guys off the snap.

 

Year One Projection: Beats out Bakhtiari for the starting LT job. In the 20-25 range at his position.

 

Career Projection: With Bakhtiari in the last year of his contract I think the Packers made a bold statement. They believe Jason Spriggs is going to be their starter for the next 4 years at the minimum. I think he will hover as an average to below average tackle for a majority of his contract, but will always be perceived as "ready to turn the corner". The issues against quick edge rushers will likely plague him for years to come, but I think he will do enough to get a second contract and hang around for a while in Green Bay.

 

 

Texans select #50. Nick Martin. C. Notre Dame.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #55

 

Breakdown: This is right around where Nick Martin was supposed to go. He isn't as consistent or physically imposing as Ryan Kelly is, but Martin is a very solid run blocker with good technical skills. He is lower on the board mainly due to the limitations of the position he plays in, but I would not be shocked if he makes a go at a pro bowl or two. The Texans made a safe and smart pick here and got one of the best interior linemen in the class.

 

Year One Projection: Top 15 center. Potentially top 10. Will receive hype and comparison to his brother.

 

Career Projection: If the Texans are smart they plan to keep this guy for a long time as a key piece of their offense for the next decade. Martin could get chipped up a bit over time due to his lack of pure strength and athleticism but I think he will prevail above minor injuries. As I said, expect a pro bowl or two but nothing stunning. I think he will peak as a top 5 center in a few years and hang in the discussion for a couple years and then gradually decline.

 

 

Texans select #85. Braxton Miller. WR. Ohio State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #52

 

Breakdown: Miller is a playmaker through and through. He doesn't have the refined position attributes that you would get from a guy like Doctson or Coleman, but he is just as much an athlete as those guys. He's best when you get him out in the open field and let him put in his work as a RAC guy. I saw a comparison that I absolutely love with Miller, and it applies damn near perfect. Watching Miller cut is like watching a guy teleport two yards away from wherever you just saw him. He's going to break some ankles at the next level. Here's to hoping he finds a spot, whether that's as a pure WR or as a gadget guy. He's exciting to watch.

 

Year One Projection: 45 receptions for 652 yards and 5 TDs. 54 rushes for 231 yards and 5 TDs.

 

Career Projection: This is a rough one. It's tough to judge how Braxton's career will unfold given that we don't know the plan for him from a positional perspective. I think he will stick around for 5 or so years as a gadget player mixed with a slot guy who can break a game wide open with a big play. I don't think he will last at the next level due to the brutal way he uses his body. He likes to hit people. He likes to play recklessly and put himself in danger. He will be an astounding weapon while he lasts, but that blade will dull rather fast.

 

Packers select #88. Kyler Fackrell. OLB. Utah State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #87

 

Breakdown: Fackrell isn't an outstanding athlete or a guy that jumps off the tape. He is a by-the-book 3-4 OLB with the versatility to shift to 4-3 OLB in other defensive packages. He is a 3-down type of player but not one that will consistently wow you. If I'm the Packers I'm happy I got a guy who can do it all from the edge, even though he is not at the upper echelon of talented 3-4 OLBs in this draft.

 

Year One Projections: 18 tackles. 1 sack. 2 TFLs. (Depth chart has Matthews at OLB. If this changes Fackrell becomes a starter and I'll adjust this.)

 

Career Projection: Fackrell is an underwhelming prospect as a whole package. He lacks the talent to be a pro bowler, and I don't think he will be more than a stop-gap starter for teams around the league. He may get a shot and make good on it if Clay Matthews ends up moving back to ILB and staying there for most of the season, but I don't think it'd be enough to keep the job if the Packers bring in decent competition. If he stays on the Packers for a few years I could see him taking over the spot of Julius Peppers and having better job security, but I'm not sure if he will last that long in Green Bay.

[FartWaffles 1,857]

Gracias Cherruh! You are a gentleman and a scholar.

 

It seems as though you're a big fan of the Texans' draft class so far. That's reassuring as I'm hyped myself for it, but I couldn't tell if I'm just being a prisoner of the moment.

[Cherry 1,302]

Giants select #40. Sterling Shepard. WR. Oklahoma.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #66

 

Breakdown: Shepard is underrated due to his small size and slot receiver frame. He is one of the better route runners in this class and will have a huge impact from day one either as a short #2 WR or as a #3 WR who mainly functions out of the slot. His speed and agility are going to be huge when he is cutting across the middle, and I wouldn't be shocked if he takes on a special teams role as well. Despite his small stature and physique he put up 20 reps at the combine on the bench press, which normally I wouldn't care too much about, but it's going to be huge in a potential special teams role.

 

Year One Projection: 61 receptions for 786 yards and 4 TDs. Special teams ace.

 

Career Projection: Shepard may not have the potential of a #1 WR like Doctson or Treadwell, but I am pretty confident in his ability to be a danger in the slot or even out wide as the #2 guy for the next several years. He isn't ever going to produce eye-popping numbers like an Antonio Brown type who comes with a similar frame and type of style but Eli will enjoy his new weapon likely until the day he hangs up his cleats.

 

 

Giants select #71. Darian Thompson. S. Boise State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: #25

 

Breakdown: I have Thompson as the #2 safety on my board if you count Ramsey as a CB. While I'm absolutely in love with Bell and Cash, I can't deny pro readiness that seems to come off of Thompson. He isn't as flashy as Karl Joseph in terms of big tackles but he is a tough center fielder who can hang back in coverage and protect from the deep ball or come up to take a guy down when he has to. He's a solid tackler with a good fundamental understanding of angles and playing the ball properly. I wouldn't be shocked if Thompson is looked at a few years from now as one of the biggest sleepers from day two that did pan out.

 

Year One Projection: 81 tackles. 5 INTs. 2 FFs. Top 20 safety.

 

Career Projection: Barring a huge mistake by the Giants GM, Thompson will be in the back end of the defense for the next six or seven years. He's not a playmaker like Joseph or as athletically gifted a guy as Ramsey, but he will pan out as one of the better picks in this draft. I wouldn't be shocked if he makes a couple pro bowls in his prime years. He should take over as a day one starter and just keep building on that. Think Adrian Wilson as a career comparison long term.

[Cherry 1,302]

Gracias Cherruh! You are a gentleman and a scholar.

 

It seems as though you're a big fan of the Texans' draft class so far. That's reassuring as I'm hyped myself for it, but I couldn't tell if I'm just being a prisoner of the moment.

 

I'm mixed on the Braxton pick but I don't think there were better options if you guys were looking for a wide receiver. Pharoh Cooper is really similar to Will Fuller and I don't think he would've been able to come in as a diverse and moldable player like Braxton will be coming in as. I'm a huge fan of the Fuller pick and the Martin pick though. Having Treadwell or Doctson or Thomas is essentially having two Hopkins. I don't think getting two big guys is the best answer. Fuller and Braxton are a lot tougher to gameplan for than Hopkins and Hopkins Jr. Fuller can come into the slot and shoot over the top right down the middle or do a lot of tricky underneath routes that corners will struggle to catch up on. Braxton will be able to get a lot more looks on screens and short passes that allow him to get into open grass. Once you get Braxton the ball in space he will create for himself.

[BwareDWare94 723]

I'll gladly read anything you have to say about the Vikings picks.

 

Also, quick question on Lynch. God given abilities aside, it seems his troubles will come from adjusting to an NFL offense and everything that comes with it (progressions, line calls, etc.). Where do you find the confidence to think he'll be a day one starter when Memphis did not prepare him for the transition?

[Cherry 1,302]

I'll gladly read anything you have to say about the Vikings picks.

 

Also, quick question on Lynch. God given abilities aside, it seems his troubles will come from adjusting to an NFL offense and everything that comes with it (progressions, line calls, etc.). Where do you find the confidence to think he'll be a day one starter when Memphis did not prepare him for the transition?

I think he shows the traits you want to transition day one, even if he isn't a highly refined QB mentally yet. He can make two or three reads on each play. He isn't a turnover prone guy. If the pass isn't there he'll take off and run or go for a safe checkdown. The Broncos are going to use a lot of over the top streaks and posts that will help to open up short passes underneath for Pax. I just think Pax is farther ahead as a pro than many people give him credit for. Worst case scenario he's better than the guy they won it all last year with. Best case scenario he is a top 5 QB as a rookie.

[BwareDWare94 723]

I hope you're right because I love it when great players don't come from expected places.

[Cherry 1,302]

Giants select #109. BJ Goodson. LB. Clemson.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: N/A (7th rounder/UDFA)

 

Breakdown: An awkward and unathletic guy who has way too much weight on his frame to move around in space effectively, Goodson projects solely as a 4-3 MLB who plays two downs as a potential run stuffer then comes off the field in pass situations. He lacks the agility to get around blocks and the strength to get through them. He has trouble detaching and grabbing a player as they come by him.

 

Year One Projection: 6 tackles. Backup or third string MLB behind Keenan Robinson.

 

Career Projection: A career depth player with an occasional spot start once or twice a year due to injuries, Goodson shouldn't last more than a few years in the NFL. He lacks the aggression in the run game that you want from a MLB and can't translate his heavy frame into dominance on the field. Expect to get 100 to 150 tackles out of this guy before he disappears.

 

 

Texans select #119. Tyler Ervin. RB. San Jose State.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: N/A (Late 4th/Early 5th)

 

Breakdown: I liked a lot of what I saw in Ervin as a pure runner. He's not a pass protector in the slightest and he struggles when he isn't given good blocking, but the man has some of the best cuts in this class. He doesn't do jump cuts like a Perkins type. He just plants his foot and slashes with ease. He also has some ridiculous turbo when he gets to the next level and will easily outrun a defense if he gets to accelerate more than 15 yards down the field. My biggest concern other than his poor pass protection is his size. He's 5'10" and 190 but plays like he is 5'8" and 175. A light shoulder hit from weak competition looked like it would knock him out of his cleats, so I'm concerned about his body holding up at the next level taking such big hits.

 

Year One Projection: 93 rushes for 538 yards and 3 TDs. Special teams guy. Likely kick returner.

 

Career Projection: I like the idea of Ervin hanging around for a few years as a very special change-of-pace back. He has the vision and acceleration of a guy you like for the role. But he is way too small to hang with NFL competition and not take severe damage. I think he will wear his body down by year 4 and either retire or become a sparsely used back on another team.

 

Packers select #131. Blake Martinez. LB. Stanford.

 

Cherry's Board Ranking: N/A (6th rounder)

 

Breakdown: A smart cerebral player with good coverage knowledge and understanding of angles, Martinez is mostly maxed out from a physical standpoint. Martinez has a great motor and doesn't give up on plays, and is a solid downhill tackler. My biggest issue is he isn't as disruptive or explosive as you'd like for a guy who is seen as a thumper at ILB. He's jittery in a bad way and likes to jump around before coming in to make a play. He is too slow to play consistent coverage against top competition, and will likely be put in a very limited role on third downs.

 

Year One Stats: Starter over Bradford & Barrington. 73 tackles. 1 FF. Middle to low end starter at ILB.

 

Career Projection: A stop gap starter with potential to stay in the league for more than one contract to due football IQ, Martinez will never be anything special, but he will be a consistent #2 guy beside whoever the Packers decide to roll out as their #1 ILB. Solid pick for a day 3 guy who will be a starter.

 

 

I'm gonna take a nap and refresh my mind after staring at the TV for 7 hours straight. I'll get the rest of them up later on tonight.

Edited April 30, 2016 by Chernobyl426

[Favre4Ever+ 4,476]

Do a few UDFA too! (Not all of them, just any potential names that stick out )

[Bangy 19]

Good work Cheryl

I fully agree in regards to Apple, I feel that he was a panic pick because both Conklin and Floyd came off the board way sooner than the Giants thought due to the Tunsil sabotage. I know they picked Apple over Hargreaves due to the fact that of red flags bullshit. I do think that both WJ3 and Burns are more complete and better prospects than Apple.

 

I do like the Shepard and Thompson picks especially Thompson who will be a a day one start and should work really well with Landon Collins. Shepard will be a nice slot receiver in my opinion giving Eli an extra option along with Harris that should take some pressure off OBJ. However I feel that it would have been better to have drafted a WR first in this case and then pick up a CB in the second.

I also like Goodsen, he should come in instantly and help plug holes in the run defence, however again overall I would have liked Darron Lee in the first as I feel that was our biggest need as it has gone fairly unaddressed.