BucD+ 648 Posted September 21, 2016 https://twitter.com/filmthatdotcom/status/778628790192746498 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Piggly Wiggly 960 Posted September 23, 2016 http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/23/politics/ted-cruz-endorses-donald-trump/ Trump Train is real and it is powerful. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 23, 2016 Is there one person* in the US that wasn't going to vote for Trump, and then decided to because of Ted Cruz's endorsement? *Not related to Ted Cruz. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RazorStar 4,025 Posted September 23, 2016 I think i's more likely that the inverse happened. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 23, 2016 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/779416700789858305 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Favre4Ever+ 4,476 Posted September 26, 2016 Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/09/23/trump-is-headed-for-a-win-says-professor-whos-predicted-30-years-of-presidential-outcomes-correctly/?tid=sm_fb Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 Incredibly misleading headline from Washington Post. 1) He's correctly predicted "The Winner of the popular vote" aka he got 2000 wrong. The only other election in that timespan that was something of a surprise result was 1992, though I don't know if that was actually a surprise towards the end. 2) His point was that the Republicans would win this election if it was a normal one, but that Trump makes things much weirder. 3) In general, I don't trust anyone who says Trump will win without specifically saying which states that Obama won in 2012 are going to vote for him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Thanatos 2,847 Posted September 26, 2016 The analytics and statistics site that has predicted every election correctly except for the 1960 one- if you use their model and go back and look at things, the guy they would have predicted to win did indeed win- gave an 83% chance that Trump would win. Hillary is going to get blasted in the debates, Trump has too much momentum, and what's more he can say whatever the fuck he wants and get no repercussions. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 The analytics and statistics site that has predicted every election correctly except for the 1960 one- if you use their model and go back and look at things, the guy they would have predicted to win did indeed win- gave an 83% chance that Trump would win. Hillary is going to get blasted in the debates, Trump has too much momentum, and what's more he can say whatever the fuck he wants and get no repercussions. Just for curiosity's sake, which site are you talking about? Nate Silver is generally considered the top guy for that and he has Hillary as a favorite, albiet not a huge one. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cherry 1,302 Posted September 26, 2016 Nate Silver has Trump at 55% to win as of now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 He updated it an hour ago with Hillary at 55%. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cherry 1,302 Posted September 26, 2016 It was 55% Trump this morning. Odd it fluctuated that quickly. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 Probably a typo. If you look at his history, he's only had Trump winning for a brief moment in July. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
oochymp 2,393 Posted September 26, 2016 some intern clicked the wrong box, anyway the important part for tonight, any good drinking games? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RazorStar 4,025 Posted September 26, 2016 Drink every time you feel existential terror. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 I have work tomorrow so this is my plan: Drink every time you feel hopeful about the future of the country. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
theMileHighGuy 656 Posted September 26, 2016 Say what you want about Hillary, but she's an actual politician. If she doesn't absolutely steamroll Trump in these debates then she absolutely doesn't deserve to be president. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
oochymp 2,393 Posted September 26, 2016 Good thing "lies" is under Hillary not Trump, looking to get drunk not dead Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 Say what you want about Hillary, but she's an actual politician. If she doesn't absolutely steamroll Trump in these debates then she absolutely doesn't deserve to be president. She will unless you grade Trump on the massive curve the media has. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SteVo+ 3,702 Posted September 26, 2016 Conservatives will say Trump won, liberals will say Clinton won. #AmericanVoters Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 26, 2016 Not necessarily true. Even the strongest liberal knew Obama lost the first 2012 debate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cherry 1,302 Posted September 27, 2016 Registered to vote today. Was an old lady trying to convince me to vote Hillary though Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
oochymp 2,393 Posted September 27, 2016 I can't believe how hard Trump advocated stop and frisk Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blotsfan 2,112 Posted September 27, 2016 I can't believe how hard Trump advocated stop and frisk Its a good appeal to his base. Black people aren't voting for him regardless, so whats it matter if he insults them? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites