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RazorStar

Razor's QB Rankings 2017

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And here we go with the injury adjusted numbers. I honestly don't feel great about this stat in its current form. There is some potential here, but I'd need to figure out a better weighting curve, or maybe just not have one altogether.

 

1. Alex Smith 337.53
2. Tom Brady 329.06
3. Drew Brees 322.647
4. Jared Goff 288.12
5. Case Keenum 286.06
6. Kirk Cousins 272.59
7. Dak Prescott 253.71
8. Russell Wilson 252.77
9. Matt Ryan 245.29
10. Philip Rivers 219.00
11. Matt Stafford 207.47
12. Ben Roeth 203.94
13. Tyrod Taylor 203.59
14. Derek Carr 194.88
15. Josh McCown 194.59
16. Marcus Mariota 193.71
17. Cam Newton 187.29
18. Carson Wentz 173.89
19. Jameis Winston 153.29
20. Blake Bortles 150.88
21. Andy Dalton 138.41
22. Ryan Fitzpatrick 132.71
23. Eli Manning 121.94
24. Jacoby Brissett 117.65
25. Jay Cutler 115.176
26. Jimmy Garrapolo 110.82
27. C.J Beathard 98.706
28. Mike Glennon 73.588
29. Joe Flacco 71.588
30. Brian Hoyer 63.353
31. Aaron Rodgers 61.882
32. Trevor Siemian 60.529
33. Mitch Trubisky 55.471
34. DeShaun Watson 51.471
35. Brock Osweiler 46.647
36. Brett Hundley 46.647
37. Matt Moore 43.529
38. Blaine Gabbert 27.706
39.Carson Palmer 19.059
40. DeShone Kizer 18.706
41. Drew Stanton 15.824
42. Sam Bradford 14.471
43. Bryce Petty 11.00
44. Tom Savage 9.941
45. Scott Tolzien 9.059
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I think I know which game would be dropped from Cam's list if we took out the worst one. :p

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Razor, your ability to analyze the game of football using mathematics is unparalleled on this site. And as a math guy, I appreciate your efforts greatly. Now get some sleep. :p

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I like that Carson's low's this year weren't all that bad. That's a mark of consistency.

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This is great. I bet the 2nd half rankings would be less work, though, right? Could you please still do that?

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Yeah, just you know, one step at a time.

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That's the Brett Hundley I know.. Although... Kizer has to be all kinds of watery shit to be below him.

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Can confirm. Kizer is that type of shit when you chug a whole bottle of apple juice before realizing what you did.

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And Finally, we have second half rankings. Let's just say, you'll never see it coming!

https://youtu.be/eFVj0Z6ahcI?t=44s

 

QB's must have 100 attempts in the second half of the season to qualify for the list. And the pluses and minuses next to each QB's name are in comparison to how they did in the second half vs how they did with the whole season under consideration. This gives you the best idea of who had strong second halves compared to their first halves, or just against the field in general.

 

 

Second Half QB Rankings (Week 10-17)

 

1. Case Keenum 18 (+3)
2. Ben Roeth 28 (+5)
3. Philip Rivers 31 (+6)
4. Drew Brees 33 (-2)
5. Matt Stafford 37 (+6)
6. Carson Wentz 38 (+2)
7. Jimmy Garappolo 39 (-1)
8. Alex Smith 39 (-7)
9. Tom Brady 42 (-6)
10. Jared Goff 42 (-5)
11. Matt Ryan 53 (-1)
12. Joe Flacco 55 (+13)
13. Jameis Winston 56 (+8)
14. Cam Newton 58 (+4)
15. Russell Wilson 63 (-3)
16. Josh McCown 67 (-1)
17. Blake Bortles 69 (+3)
18. Kirk Cousins 73 (-4)
19. Brock Osweiler 76 (+10)
20. Ryan Fitzpatrick 76 (-3)
21. Tyrod Taylor 80 (-5)
22. Andy Dalton 80 (+1)
23. Marcus Mariota 89 (-4)
24. Derek Carr 89 (-2)
25. Mitch Trubisky 91 (+3)
26. Jacoby Brissett 97 (-2)
27. Jay Cutler 100 (-1)
28. Dak Prescott 102 (-15)
29. Brett Hundley 104 (+2)
30. DeShone Kizer 108 (+3)
31. Eli Manning 114 (-4)
32. Drew Stanton 117
33. Tom Savage 119 (+3)
34. Trevor Siemian 125 (-4)
35. Bryce Petty 126 (-1)
36. Blaine Gabbert 130 (-1)
Edited by RazorStar
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So I guess that Zeke Elliot guy is pretty good.

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Thanks again, man.

 

Things I either knew or am not surprised about the 2nd half of the season: Ben and Stafford being great, Dak tumbling.

Things I didn't know or am very surprised at: Keenum being the best and Flacco being league average or better.

 

Super interesting stuff, as always.

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I've heard so much stuff about Dak. One person said he masterfully avoided a sophomore slump, others said he was putrid when Zeke left, and others said he was a guy trying to work with nothing and obviously didn't succeed.

 

That Seattle game was awful, regardless.

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Dak struggled a lot when the PA pass wasn't working. his counting stats are a little deceiving as to the kind of season he had.

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