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Randomized Mock Draft

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Hey, who wants to see what happens when I get bored? I know you do!

Alright, so I did a weighted lottery for the Draft. Each team gets as many "balls" as they had losses, unless they made the playoffs. Then the situation goes like this:

 

5 balls for losing in the wildcard round or number of losses (Whichever is less)

4 balls for losing the divisonal round

3 balls for losing the conference championship

2 balls for losing the super bowl

1 for winning the superbowl

 

In the end, the lottery was weighted thusly:

 

Team - Balls

Carolina 1-14

Denver 15-26

Buffalo 27-38

Cincinnati 39-50

Arizona 54-64

Cleveland 65-75

San Fran 76-85

Tennessee 86-95

Dallas 96-105

Washington 106-115

Houston 116-125

Minny 126-135

Detroit 136-145

St. Louis 146-154

Miami 155-163

Jacksonville 164-171

Oakland 172-179

San Diego 180-186

New YorkG 187-192

Tampa Bay 193-198

Kansas City 199-203

Indianapolis 204-208

Philly 209-213

New Orleans 214-219

Seattle 220-223

Baltimore 224-227

Atlanta 228-230

New England 231-232

Chicago 233-235

New YorkJ 236-238

Pittsburgh 239-240

Green Bay 241

 

Order upcoming in the next post. I only need to draw one of those numbers for the team to be put up in the draft order.

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Here is your sequence:

 

152 141 171 88 98 181 28 87 226 240 114 22 33 121 218

173 157 213 73 111 47 43 55 19 54 95 89 11 136 107

79 185 199 189 25 62 164 48 38 59 223 158 212 50 234

222 178 232 92 35 45 36 117 209 51 5 86 70 15 110

77 174 9 67 236 190 192 214 172 138 197 100 124 17 71

78 170 191 179 120 103 109 101 219 39 133 49 115 14 18

208 40 10 194 195 82 187 125 231 155 168 118 29 161 1

224 16 241 72 139 131 207 93 151 30 221 180 204 239 148

149 129 146 153 225 166 13 237 165 32 130 200 56 167 150

186 216 229 201 145 154 64 198 46 52 69 68 235 230 159

81 61 135 210 21 112 76 105 162 83 90 182 183 108 126

113 97 2 160 106 184 3 104 41 176 53 132 169 57 74

80 44 217 65 142 127 27 20 188 227 128 206 175 137 12

26 140 66 193 31 60 99 96 211 205 215 6 4 42 196

163 23 63 24 123 75 84 116 203 147 119 7 58 228 156

233 8 238 91 220 202 177 143 102 34 122 134 144 85 37

94

 

Timestamp: 2011-03-30 02:41:16 UTC

 

So going by that, we have a draft order of:

 

1. St. Louis Rams (152)

2. Detroit Lions (141)

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (171)

4. Tennessee Titans (88)

5. Dallas Cowboys (98)

6. San Diego Chargers (181)

7. Buffalo Bills (28)

8. Baltimore Ravens (226)

9. Pittsburgh Steelers (240)

10. Washington Redskins (114)

11. Denver Broncos (22)

12. Houston Texans (121)

13. New Orleans Saints (218)

14. Oakland Raiders (173)

15. Miami Dolphins (157)

16. Philadelphia Eagles (213)

17. Cleveland Browns (73)

18. Cincinnati Bengals (47)

19. Arizona Cardinals (55)

20. Caronlina Panthers (11)

21. San Francisco 49ers (79)

22. Kansas City Chiefs (199)

23. New York Giants (189)

24. Seattle Seahawks (223)

25. Chicago Bears (234)

26. New York Jets (238)

27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (197)

28. Indianapolis Colts (208)

29. New England Patriots (231)

30. Green Bay Packers (241)

31. Minnesota Vikings (131)

32. Atlanta Falcons (229)

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Hmmmm... picking at 9 would be awesome for the Steelers. We could pick between Amukamara and Tyron Smith.

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1. St. Louis Rams – Marcel Dareus, DT, Alabama

The Rams have to love picking in the top spot of the draft once again, this time they can definitely take the best player on the board at a position of need, simply because this slot is so wide open. I'd say they go Dareus here and fill a big hole in the middle of their defense.

 

2. Detroit Lions – Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

What a big pick up for the Lions, Peterson instantly improves their god awful secondary and gives them a threat on all four downs. With the new touchback rule, Punt Returners are suddenly a lot more valuable. And he's kind of a good corner too.

 

3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Blaine Gabbert, QB, Mizzou

The Jags grab the guy who should set up their franchise for years to come. After this draft season, Gabbert is starting to remove doubts in the minds of people and make him seem a viable QB for the future.

 

4. Tennessee Titans – Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

They never learn, do they? Vince Young 2.0.

 

5. Dallas Cowboys – Nick Fairley, DE, Auburn

This is a bit of a surprise, but I think Fairley would excel as a 3-4 DE, even if it's a bit out of sorts.

 

6. San Diego Chargers – Von Miller OLB, Texas A&M

Miller is an excellent plan for filling the hole a Outside Linebacker that the Roider left. He'll step in right away and provide that key rush off the edge the Chargers need.

 

7. Buffalo Bills – Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina

Aaron Maybin is a massive bust, so Quinn should step in and give the Bills the edge they need on defense. Either a 3-4 or a 4-3, Quinn makes sense off the edge.

 

8. Baltimore Ravens – Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

Baltimore grabs a shut down corner for their secondary, and continue the rebuilding project. Ozzie Newsome glad.

 

9. Pittsburgh Steelers – Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

The Steelers need to fix their offensive line, badly. Castonzo is the best overall prospect on the line, and definitely worth the slight reach

 

10. Washington Redskins – AJ Green, WR, Georgia

Any pick would fill a need for the Skins here, they are just too weak everywhere else to focus on anything but BPA.

 

11. Denver Broncos – DaQuan Bowers, DE, Clemson

John Fox loves himself some athletic defensive ends. I wouldn't like the pick, but it does make a bit of sense.

 

12. Houston Texans – Aldon Smith, OLB, Mizzou

The Texans are in a rough position here, and have no choice but to grab an outside linebacker. 3-4 DE is about the only position they have settled on the defense, so Aldon is the highest rated player of need.

 

13. New Orleans Saints – Cameron Jordan, DE, California

The Saints would love this pick, the back 4 is stacked enough, get some help on the trenches, guys. Cameron Jordan is the Gregg Williams defensive end, so he the correct choice here.

 

14. Oakland Raiders – Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

Julio Jones is a great football playa...

 

15. Miami Dolphins – Mark Ingram, HB, Alabama

Oh hey the Dolphins don't move either. Have the grandma pick, since it's the obvious one.

 

16. Philadelphia Eagles – Tyron Smith, OT, USC

The Eagles pick up yet another tackle. He'd be a solid fit on either the Left or Right side, as long as he is opposite Jason Peters. You gotta protect the non-sliding bastard somehow.

 

17. Cleveland Browns – Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

It was gonna be a defensive lineman here, I just think Kerrigan would fit the Cleveland 4-3 better than Watt or Clayborn. Plus he's a high character with a high floor, something Holmgren likes.

 

18. Cincinnati Bengals – Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

We don't know whether Joseph is leaving via free agency, but the Bengals should stockpile defensive players while they can. There's no quarterback worth taking and the offensive line is already solid.

 

19. Arizona Cardinals – Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

Wonderful swing offensive lineman who could fill any one of the holes on Arizona's offensive line. It's either this or reach on a pass rusher.

 

20. Carolina Panthers -Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa

The lottery really puts Carolina in a hole here, Lots of offensive linemen they don't need and defensive players who don't quite fit the scheme. I go with Clayborn since Charles Johnson may be stepping out.

 

21. San Francisco 49ers – J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin

Watt will fit excellently opposite Justin Smith, and beside Aubrayo Franklin. His addition will make the 49ers pass rush scary again.

 

22. Kansas City Chiefs - Mike Pouncey, OG/C, Florida

KC needs a replacement for Weigmann and Waters soon, Pouncey can fill at least one of these positions immediately.

 

23. New York Giants – Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

I personally believe Solder has the most upside out of all the first round talent offensive tackles in this draft, but a few red flag issues probably means he'll be drafted later than most of these guys. Lots of potential for the future, which gives the Giants time to integrate him into their offensive line.

 

24. Seattle Seahawks – Jake Locker, QB, Washington

Drafting the hometown kid here, it just makes too much sense, Hass is old and can't give you 16 games anymore, and Whitehurst is just a disappointment. Locker has the potential to be a good pick, but I sincerely doubt it, something about him just screams Trent Dilfer.

 

25. Chicago Bears – Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

The Bears need someone to fill the void that Tommie Harris has left, and Liuget is that guy. He could be their Dan Hampton, at least for a while.

 

26. New York Jets – Justin Houston, OLB, Georgia

The Jets need an edge rusher badly, and this guy is very bad. In a good way. It'd be good to get Houston in New York, as long as we aren't in Georgia. CONFUSION.

 

27. Tampa Bay Bucs – Aaron Williams, FS, Texas

Notice how I list him at Free Safety? Well he'll fill up cornerback if the Bucs decide to get rid of Talib as well, but secondary is suddenly a major concern for Tampa Bay. It suddenly overwhlems their need for a defensive end. Tanard Jackson is probably gone though, so he at least starts immediately.

 

28. Indianapolis Colts – Derek Sherrod, OT, Miss State

The Colts try once again to replace Tarik Glenn. Peyton gets rid of the ball quickly, but a good offensive line makes sure he doesn't throw it away too quickly.

 

29. New England Patriots – Muhammad Wilkerson, DE, Temple

This guy is too good to escape the first round. New England gets a really solid player here, he is just overpowering and explosive.

 

30. Green Bay Packers – Cameron Heyward, DE, tOSU

Aside from the unproven Mike Neal, the Packers don't really have a rushing 3-4 Defensive End. Ironhead is definitely the complete piece any team would want.

 

31. Minnesota Vikings – Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State

Despite being completely ripped off by the draft lottery, the Vikings get a blessing in disguise. Who wouldn't want Chad Pennington Jr. playing quarterback for them? Not a reach at this point, and gives Joe Webb some serious competition for the starting job. May the best guy win.

 

32. Atlanta Falcons – Mikel Leshoure, RB, Illinois

I usually tend to end up low in mocking runningbacks to teams, so I'm gonna change that up. Turner is getting old, Snelling is often injured, and Norwood is gone, so LeShoure is the best balance available for the ball control Atlanta offense.

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I'm really bored, so I decided to mock this draft order...

 

(I did this really quickly, so don't go nuts if you don't like your team's pick)

 

1. :Rams: - Marcell Dareus: DT, Alabama

2. :Lions: - Patrick Peterson: CB, LSU

3. :jags: - Blaine Gabbert: QB, Missouri

4. :Titans: - Cam Newton: QB, Auburn

5. :Cowboys: - Von Miller: OLB, Texas A&M

6. :Chargers: - J.J. Watt: DE, Wisconsin

7. :Bills: - Nick Fairley: DT, Auburn

8. :Ravens: - Prince Amukamara: CB, Nebraska

9. :Steelers: - Tyron Smith: OT, USC

10. :Redskins: - A.J. Green: WR, Georgia

11. :Broncos: - Da'Quan Bowers: DE, Clemson

12. :Texans: - Robert Quinn: OLB, North Carolina

13. :Saints: - Aldon Smith: DE, Missouri

14. :Patriots: - Cameron Jordan: DE, California

15. :dolphins: - Mark Ingram: RB, Alabama

16. :Eagles: - Mike Pouncey: OG, Florida

17. :Browns: - Julio Jones: WR, Alabama

18. :Bengals: - Jimmy Smith: CB, Colorado

19. :Cardinals: - Ryan Kerrigan: OLB, Purdue

20. :panthers: - Christian Ponder: QB, Florida State

21. :49ers: - Muhammad Wilkerson: DE, Temple

22. :Chiefs: - Gabe Carimi: OT, Wisconsin

23. :Giants: - Anthony Castonzo: OT, Boston College

24. :Seahawks: - Corey Liuget: DT, Illinois

25. :Bears: - Nate Solder: OT, Colorado

26. :Jets: - Phil Taylor: NT, Baylor

27. :Bucs: - Brooks Reed: DE, Arizona

28. :Colts: - Derek Sherrod: OT, Mississippi State

29. :Patriots: - Justin Houston: OLB, Georgia

30. :Packers: - Cameron Heyward: DE, Ohio State

31. :Vikings: - Jake Locker: QB, Washington

32. :Falcons: - Adrian Clayborn: DE, Iowa

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