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RazorStar

Predict the Season 2016

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https://docs.google.com/document/d/1f5ldCIg6YFD4E8rxidjN3Zb-pslhx2NHz03fbIpZTeo/edit?usp=sharing

 

Might as well keep a good thing running. As always, I go through the schedule, make my predictions RIGHT NOW and see how well I do after the fact. And I almost exactly tied my record from last year, if not for a tie game muddling up the numbers. I managed to get quite a few team's records exactly, and wildly off for everyone else without much in between. Culminating in the NFC East where I overestimated the Giants and Cowboys by 6 wins, underestimated the Redskins by the same number of games, and pegged the Eagles at 7-9. Put yeah, there's some cool factoids there, and I'm gonna type up my predictions for this season in a bit. Including playoff projections of course, but as always I expect to be horribly wrong (Giants> Patriots please.)

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wait, the link you posted is for your 2015 predictions compared to actual, right?

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Yeah, I'm going to post my predictions for this season in this topic, but I've been busy today.

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fair enough, just making sure I'm reading it right, you were really close on the Titans' overall record despite only getting one of our wins right, interesting

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Week 1
Broncos > Panthers
Falcons > Bucs
Titans > Vikings
Eagles > Browns
Bengals > Jets
Saints > Raiders
Chiefs > Chargers
Ravens > Bills
Texans > Bears
Packers > Jags
Seahawks > Dolphins
Cowboys > Giants
Colts > Lions
Cardinals > Patriots
Steelers > Redskins
49ers > Rams

Week 2
Bills > Jets
Panthers > 49ers
Redskins > Cowboys
Steelers > Bengals
Saints > Giants
Dolphins > Patriots
Texans > Chiefs
Lions > Titans
Browns > Ravens
Rams > Seahawks
Cards > Bucs
Jags > Chargers
Raiders > Falcons
Colts > Broncos
Vikings > Packers
Eagles > Bears

Week 3
Texans > Patriots
Cardinals > Bills
Raiders > Titans
Redskins > Giants
Browns > Dolphins
Jags > Ravens
Packers > Lions
Bengals > Broncos
Panthers > Vikings
Bucs > Rams
Seahawks > 49ers
Chiefs > Jets
Chargers > Colts
Steelers > Eagles
Cowboys > Bears
Saints > Falcons

Week 4
Byes: Packers, Eagles
Bengals > Dolphins
Jags > Colts
Texans > Titans
Redskins > Browns
Jets > Seahawks
Patriots > Bills
Falcons > Panthers
Ravens > Raiders
Lions > Bears
Broncos > Bucs
Cardinals > Rams
Chargers > Saints
Cowboys > 49ers
Chiefs > Steelers
Vikings > Giants

Week 5
Byes: Jags, Chiefs, Saints, Seahawks
49ers > Cardinals
Patriots > Browns
Lions > Eagles
Bears > Colts
Titans > Dolphins
Ravens > Redskins
Vikings > Texans
Steelers > Jets
Broncos > Falcons
Bengals > Cowboys
Rams > Bills
Raiders > Chargers
Packers > Giants
Bucs > Panthers

Week 6
Byes: Vikings, Bucs
Broncos > Chargers
Bills > 49ers
Redskins > Eagles
Browns > Titans
Giants > Ravens
Saints > Panthers
Jaguars > Bears
Rams > Lions
Dolphins > Steelers
Bengals > Patriots
Chiefs > Raiders
Seahawks > Falcons
Packers > Cowboys
Texans > Colts
Cardinals > Jets

Week 7
Byes: Panthers, Cowboys
Packers > Bears
Rams > Giants
Chiefs > Saints
Colts > Titans
Eagles > Vikings
Bengals > Browns
Redskins > Lions
Jaguars > Raiders
Dolphins > Bills
Jets > Ravens
49ers > Bucs
Falcons > Chargers
Steelers > Patriots
Seahawks > Cardinals
Broncos > Texans

Week 8
Byes: Ravens, Rams, Dolphins, Giants, Steelers, 49ers
Titans > Jaguars
Bengals > Redskins
Chiefs > Colts
Raiders > Bucs
Saints > Seahawks
Texans > Lions
Browns > Jets
Packers > Falcons
Patriots > Bills
Broncos > Chargers
Cardinals > Panthers
Eagles > Cowboys
Vikings > Bears

Week 9
Byes: Cardinals, Bears, Bengals, Texans, Pats, Redskins
Bucs > Falcons
Vikings > Lions
Eagles > Giants
Jets > Dolphins
Chiefs > Jaguars
Browns > Cowboys
Steelers > Ravens
Saints > 49ers
Panthers > Rams
Packers > Colts
Chargers > Titans
Broncos > Raiders
Seahawks > Bills

Current Standings up to Week 9

AFC East
Dolphins 3-5
Patriots 3-5
Jets 3-6
Bills 2-7

AFC North
Bengals 7-1
Steelers 6-2
Browns 5-4
Ravens 3-5

AFC South
Texans 6-2
Jags 5-3
Titans 3-6
Colts 3-6

AFC West
Chiefs 7-1
Broncos 7-2
Raiders 4-5
Chargers 3-6

 

---

NFC East
Redskins 5-3
Eagles 5-3
Cowboys 3-5
Giants 1-7

NFC North
Packers 7-1
Vikings 5-3
Lions 3-6
Bears 1-7

NFC South
Saints 6-2
Bucs 3-5
Panthers 3-5
Falcons 3-6

NFC West
Cardinals 6-2
Seahawks 5-3
Rams 4-4
49ers 3-5

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Wouldn't the Vikings be in first place in the NFCN according to your predictions? They are 3-0 against their own division, including a head-to-head win against GB. I figured that would matter more than overall record for divisional standings.

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Wouldn't the Vikings be in first place in the NFCN according to your predictions? They are 3-0 against their own division, including a head-to-head win against GB. I figured that would matter more than overall record for divisional standings.

this isn't college ball, overall record sets the standings, divisional record is a tiebreaker

  • Upvote 1

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Week 10
Byes: Bills, Lions, Colts, Raiders
Ravens > Browns
Jags > Texans
Broncos > Saints
Jets > Rams
Eagles > Falcons
Panthers > Chiefs
Bucs > Bears
Vikings > Redskins
Titans > Packers
Dolphins > Chargers
Cardinals > 49ers
Cowboys > Steelers
Seahawks > Patriots
Bengals > Giants

Week 11
Byes: Falcons, Broncos, Jets, Chargers
Panthers > Saints
Steelers > Browns
Cowboys > Ravens
Lions > Jags
Colts > Titans
Bengals > Bills
Chiefs > Bucs
Giants > Bears
Vikings > Cardinals
Rams > Dolphins
Patriots > 49ers
Seahawks > Eagles
Redskins > Packers
Raiders > Texans

Week 12
Vikings > Lions
Redskins > Cowboys
Steelers > Colts
Bears > Titans
Bills > Jags
Ravens > Bengals
Cardinals > Falcons
Browns > Giants
Rams > Saints
Dolphins > 49ers
Texans > Chargers
Bucs > Seahawks
Raiders > Panthers
Broncos > Chiefs
Jets > Patriots
Packers > Eagles

Week 13
Byes: Browns, Titans
Vikings > Cowboys
Chiefs > Falcons
Saints > Lions
Patriots > Rams
Jags > Broncos
Packers > Texans
Bengals > Eagles
Dolphins > Ravens
Bears > 49ers
Bills > Raiders
Giants > Steelers
Cardinals > Redskins
Bucs > Chargers
Seahawks > Panthers
Jets > Colts

Week 14
Raiders > Chiefs
Bills > Steelers
Broncos > Titans
Bucs > Saints
Eagles > Redskins
Cardinals > Dolphins
Panthers > Chargers
Browns > Bengals
Bears > Lions
Texans > Colts
Vikings > Jags
49ers > Jets
Rams > Falcons
Packers > Seahawks
Giants > Cowboys
Patriots > Ravens

Week 15
Rams > Seahawks
Jets > Dolphins
Packers > Bears
Cowboys > Bucs
Jags > Texans
Browns > Bills
Ravens > Eagles
Chiefs > Titans
Giants > Lions
Vikings > Colts
Saints > Cardinals
Falcons > 49ers
Broncos > Patriots
Raiders > Chargers
Steelers > Bengals
Redskins > Panthers

Week 16
Giants > Eagles
Dolphins > Bills
Bucs > Saints
Jets > Patriots
Jags > Titans
Packers > Vikings
Browns > Chargers
Bears > Redskins
Panthers > Falcons
Raiders > Colts
Seahawks > Cardinals
Rams > 49ers
Bengals > Texans
Ravens > Steelers
Chiefs > Broncos
Lions > Cowboys

Week 17
Falcons > Saints
Bucs > Panthers
Titans > Texans
Jags > Colts
Bengals > Ravens
Steelers > Browns
Redskins > Giants
Cowboys > Eagles
Dolphins > Patriots
Bills > Jets
Packers > Lions
Vikings > Bears
Rams > Cardinals
Seahawks > 49ers
Chiefs > Chargers
Raiders > Broncos

Final Season Standings:

AFC East
4. Jets 8-8 (2-0 H2H vs. Dolphins)
Dolphins 8-8
Patriots 6-10
Bills 6-10

AFC North
2. Bengals 12-4 (8-4 CONF)
6. Steelers 10-6 (8-4 CONF over the Raiders)
Browns 9-7
Ravens 7-9

AFC South
3. Jags 10-6
Texans 8-8
Titans 5-11
Colts 4-12

AFC West
1. Chiefs 12-4 (9-3 CONF over the Bengals)
5. Broncos 11-5
Raiders 10-6 (7-5 CONF)
Chargers 3-13

NFC East
4. Redskins 9-7
Eagles 7-9
Cowboys 7-9
Giants 6-10

NFC North
1. Packers 13-3
5. Vikings 12-4
Lions 5-11
Bears 5-11

NFC South
3. Bucs 9-7 (Got to SOV tiebreaker before saying fuck it)
Saints 8-8
Panthers 7-9
Falcons 5-11

NFC West
2. Rams 10-6 (2-0 H2H with Seahawks) (4-2 Div)
6. Seahawks 10-6 (0-2 H2H with Rams) (4-2 Div)
Cardinals 10-6 (2-4 Div)
49ers 4-12

Playoff Predictions:

Wild Card Round
6. Seahawks > 3. Bucs 24-20
5. Vikings > 4. Redskins 31-16
3. Jaguars > 6. Steelers 24-21 OT
5. Broncos > 4. Jets 38-7

Divisional Round
1. Chiefs > 5. Broncos 27-21
2. Bengals > 3. Jaguars 38-14
6. Seahawks > 1. Packers 20-19
5. Vikings > 2. Rams 40-14

Conference Championships
2. Bengals > 1. Chiefs 28-24
6. Seahawks > 5. Vikings 30-27 OT

Super Bowl LI
2. Bengals > 6. Seahawks 31-26

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Patriots 6-10? :yao:

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Patriots 6-10? :yao:

 

The Collapse is coming.

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That's what they've been saying for a decade. Don't question Palpatine.

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I think this entire thing is crazy, but go for it Razor.

 

I would say there is no way on earth Carolina loses three straight games to start division play.

 

I would say there is no way on earth the Rams win the West and the Cards don't even make the playoffs.

 

Stranger things have happened however.

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yeah the tiebreakers ended up biting the cards in the ass, I don't look at the standings as I go through the games until I tally them all up half way through and at the end. Rams winning the division based on winning division games made some sense, since those are the only games where they live up to their potential. Panthers I expect cannot maintain another 17-2 season, but I may be giving them too little credit with this free fall. Maybe. This does feel like a year of upheaval though, we could see some seriously strange shit.

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Bucs in the playoffs? I approve of these predictions. :smug:

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Week 10

Byes: Bills, Lions, Colts, Raiders

Ravens > Browns

Jags > Texans

Broncos > Saints

Jets > Rams

Eagles > Falcons

Panthers > Chiefs

Bucs > Bears

Vikings > Redskins

Titans > Packers

Dolphins > Chargers

Cardinals > 49ers

Cowboys > Steelers

Seahawks > Patriots

Bengals > Giants

 

Week 11

Byes: Falcons, Broncos, Jets, Chargers

Panthers > Saints

Steelers > Browns

Cowboys > Ravens

Lions > Jags

Colts > Titans

Bengals > Bills

Chiefs > Bucs

Giants > Bears

Vikings > Cardinals

Rams > Dolphins

Patriots > 49ers

Seahawks > Eagles

Redskins > Packers

Raiders > Texans

 

Week 12

Vikings > Lions

Redskins > Cowboys

Steelers > Colts

Bears > Titans

Bills > Jags

Ravens > Bengals

Cardinals > Falcons

Browns > Giants

Rams > Saints

Dolphins > 49ers

Texans > Chargers

Bucs > Seahawks

Raiders > Panthers

Broncos > Chiefs

Jets > Patriots

Packers > Eagles

 

Week 13

Byes: Browns, Titans

Vikings > Cowboys

Chiefs > Falcons

Saints > Lions

Patriots > Rams

Jags > Broncos

Packers > Texans

Bengals > Eagles

Dolphins > Ravens

Bears > 49ers

Bills > Raiders

Giants > Steelers

Cardinals > Redskins

Bucs > Chargers

Seahawks > Panthers

Jets > Colts

 

Week 14

Raiders > Chiefs

Bills > Steelers

Broncos > Titans

Bucs > Saints

Eagles > Redskins

Cardinals > Dolphins

Panthers > Chargers

Browns > Bengals

Bears > Lions

Texans > Colts

Vikings > Jags

49ers > Jets

Rams > Falcons

Packers > Seahawks

Giants > Cowboys

Patriots > Ravens

 

Week 15

Rams > Seahawks

Jets > Dolphins

Packers > Bears

Cowboys > Bucs

Jags > Texans

Browns > Bills

Ravens > Eagles

Chiefs > Titans

Giants > Lions

Vikings > Colts

Saints > Cardinals

Falcons > 49ers

Broncos > Patriots

Raiders > Chargers

Steelers > Bengals

Redskins > Panthers

 

Week 16

Giants > Eagles

Dolphins > Bills

Bucs > Saints

Jets > Patriots

Jags > Titans

Packers > Vikings

Browns > Chargers

Bears > Redskins

Panthers > Falcons

Raiders > Colts

Seahawks > Cardinals

Rams > 49ers

Bengals > Texans

Ravens > Steelers

Chiefs > Broncos

Lions > Cowboys

 

Week 17

Falcons > Saints

Bucs > Panthers

Titans > Texans

Jags > Colts

Bengals > Ravens

Steelers > Browns

Redskins > Giants

Cowboys > Eagles

Dolphins > Patriots

Bills > Jets

Packers > Lions

Vikings > Bears

Rams > Cardinals

Seahawks > 49ers

Chiefs > Chargers

Raiders > Broncos

 

Final Season Standings:

 

AFC East

4. Jets 8-8 (2-0 H2H vs. Dolphins)

Dolphins 8-8

Patriots 6-10

Bills 6-10

 

AFC North

2. Bengals 12-4 (8-4 CONF)

6. Steelers 10-6 (8-4 CONF over the Raiders)

Browns 9-7

Ravens 7-9

 

AFC South

3. Jags 10-6

Texans 8-8

Titans 5-11

Colts 4-12

 

AFC West

1. Chiefs 12-4 (9-3 CONF over the Bengals)

5. Broncos 11-5

Raiders 10-6 (7-5 CONF)

Chargers 3-13

 

NFC East

4. Redskins 9-7

Eagles 7-9

Cowboys 7-9

Giants 6-10

 

NFC North

1. Packers 13-3

5. Vikings 12-4

Lions 5-11

Bears 5-11

 

NFC South

3. Bucs 9-7 (Got to SOV tiebreaker before saying fuck it)

Saints 8-8

Panthers 7-9

Falcons 5-11

 

NFC West

2. Rams 10-6 (2-0 H2H with Seahawks) (4-2 Div)

6. Seahawks 10-6 (0-2 H2H with Rams) (4-2 Div)

Cardinals 10-6 (2-4 Div)

49ers 4-12

 

Playoff Predictions:

 

Wild Card Round

6. Seahawks > 3. Bucs 24-20

5. Vikings > 4. Redskins 31-16

3. Jaguars > 6. Steelers 24-21 OT

5. Broncos > 4. Jets 38-7

 

Divisional Round

1. Chiefs > 5. Broncos 27-21

2. Bengals > 3. Jaguars 38-14

6. Seahawks > 1. Packers 20-19

5. Vikings > 2. Rams 40-14

 

Conference Championships

2. Bengals > 1. Chiefs 28-24

6. Seahawks > 5. Vikings 30-27 OT

 

Super Bowl LI

2. Bengals > 6. Seahawks 31-26

Just for something to do, I'll offer my (ahem) humble opinion. :coffee:

Even if Pats are Brady-less for 4 weeks, I think they still win a minimum of 10.

Browns will be lucky to win more than 5.

Colts will win at least 9 and Jags will be improved, but they won't win more than 8.

Panthers won't regress out of the playoffs - they still win 12.

The rest are doable but of course there will be adjustments which I have not done.

:bow:

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The Patriots are also short Chandler Jones and I think not having a top flight pass rusher is going to cause them some serious problems. Like I know Brady has been saying he's gonna play into his mid 40's, but that's just not feasible. The offensive line has been an issue as well, and while they have a lot of talent at the skill positions, something is just screaming collapse to me. Browns may be optimistic, but as I went through the schedule it was like "Yeah they could win this game. This one too. Holy shit are they competing for the playoffs?" They've got the NFC East and AFC East for out of division games, so that may be a few extra wins on their side.

 

The Colts have always been an overachieving 8-8 team, and last year was the first year where their play matched their win total. 4-12 might be a little low, but they've definitely got a hard schedule to deal with, facing the AFC West and NFC North. And I will guarantee the Panthers win less than 12 games next year.

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Them's fighting words. They'll be 1-0 after week 1.

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Nah. Broncos should win week 1. Anything at QB is better than Peyton. If Paxton and Booker start it should be a way better offense vs a weaker Panthers D.

 

I'd say Panthers go 9-7 but rip division apart. Probably 5-1 in division with a loss to the Bucs.

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Nah. Broncos should win week 1. Anything at QB is better than Peyton. If Paxton and Booker start it should be a way better offense vs a weaker Panthers D.

 

I'd say Panthers go 9-7 but rip division apart. Probably 5-1 in division with a loss to the Bucs.

 

Kelvin Benjamin says hello. Carolina's defense will take a highly overrated rookie QB apart. Lynch was only drafted in the first round because Denver was desperate for a QB. And Peyton knew not to force things. This is game 1, Paxton will be eaten alive by a Panthers defense that will be better than last year. Heard it here first.

 

And Carolina is finishing with no less than 11 wins.

Edited by Thanatos

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The Panthers aren't a team with massive amounts of talent. They're a good group with excellent chemistry, but they've made no improvement from last year. Paxton as a rookie is better than last year's Peyton. Literally everyone that Broncos could roll out is better than last year's Peyton. The Panthers on paper are going to get steamrolled by an improved version of last year's champs.

 

Panthers have been at this boundary of being great for a few years. Hovering around 10 wins in an easy division. It wasn't until last year they really opened up. I personally think last year was a fluke.

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Flukes don't steamroll an entire conference. Their 2 playoff games were a joke. Good teams (albeit Seattle was a shell of themselves) that Carolina just destroyed.

 

They will absolutely come down to earth this season because of an improved division but they're still a good team.

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Flukes don't steamroll an entire conference. Their 2 playoff games were a joke. Good teams (albeit Seattle was a shell of themselves) that Carolina just destroyed.

 

They will absolutely come down to earth this season because of an improved division but they're still a good team.

Fluke as in 15-1 fluke. I have no doubt that Carolina could get to 11 wins, but they won't be the same as the team we saw destroy the league last year.

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Yeah, there'll be regression towards the mean. They had an incredibly weak schedule last year, not only did their whole division have an off-season, they also got to play the AFC South and NFC East, probably (okay, definitely) the two worst divisions last season. That said, I don't think anyone is expecting another 15-1 season and regression toward the mean doesn't mean they're gonna fall off a cliff.

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The Panthers aren't a team with massive amounts of talent. They're a good group with excellent chemistry, but they've made no improvement from last year. Paxton as a rookie is better than last year's Peyton. Literally everyone that Broncos could roll out is better than last year's Peyton. The Panthers on paper are going to get steamrolled by an improved version of last year's champs.

 

Panthers have been at this boundary of being great for a few years. Hovering around 10 wins in an easy division. It wasn't until last year they really opened up. I personally think last year was a fluke.

 

The idea that the South is an easy division is a fallacy. It's had its down years for the past two years, prior to that it was one of the best in the league.

 

They've made no improvement lol. Getting back our #1 WR is apparently "no improvement."

 

We shall see, Chern.

Fluke as in 15-1 fluke. I have no doubt that Carolina could get to 11 wins, but they won't be the same as the team we saw destroy the league last year.

 

No team repeats with a 15-1 record. It's never been done. Saying they won't reach 15 wins and claiming that makes them a fluke is silly. Carolina can easily reach 12, the rest depends on how much J-No's loss hurts the defense and KB's gain helps the offense.

Edited by Thanatos

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The idea that the South is an easy division is a fallacy. It's had its down years for the past two years, prior to that it was one of the best in the league.

 

They've made no improvement lol. Getting back our #1 WR is apparently "no improvement."

 

We shall see, Chern.

 

No team repeats with a 15-1 record. It's never been done. Saying they won't reach 15 wins and claiming that makes them a fluke is silly. Carolina can easily reach 12, the rest depends on how much J-No's loss hurts the defense and KB's gain helps the offense.

 

Fallacy? The Bucs have a terrible defense and an offense that fails to live up to the hype. The Falcons are mediocre through and through. The Saints are literally just Drew Brees. It's not a good division. There is a reason the Panthers have won the past few years straight.

 

They also lost Josh Norman.

 

I'm not saying I expect 15. But even 13 is pushing the limit. They faced one of the easiest schedules in the league last year in AFC South and NFC East. They're arguably the same team as last year or worse with the loss of Norman, though having Benji back should help. I'm not saying they are terrible or won't win division, but they aren't gonna be as dominant as before.

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