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Razor's QB Watch 2011

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For those of you unaware of what is going on here, I'll do my best to explain. I rank QB's in this topic based on their passing prowess, over 16 weeks this list should balance out rather nicely, but right now it looks kind of funny. So, I do this based on YPA, Completion percentage and Touchdown to Interception Ratio. Basically if a QB can reach or exceed the Elite marks in all three of these categories, they are counted as an elite QB for the time being. This won't mean much since there's only been 1 week right now, but it'll look better at the end of the season.

 

The Elite marks right now are: 65% Completion percent (This might change), 2.0 TD:INT ratio (Looks horrible right now, but the mark will be much better later in the season), and a 7.5 YPA (This will always remain consistent) There are the Terrible marks as well which are under 1 TD:INT ratio, under 57% completion percentage, and under 6.5 YPA. These numbers were determined by taking the average QB performance from last year, 61.5% Completion percentage, 1.57 TD-INT Ratio, and 7.09 YPA. These marks may change slightly, but for now it seems to be a solid baseline.

 

With raw numbers, we had three elite quarterbacks last year, Tom Brady, Philip Rivers and Aaron Rodgers. One led the number one offense in the league, one had the highest TD:INT ratio of any QB who started the whole season, and the other helped his team to a super bowl victory. So yeah, I like to this is a pretty good indicator of talent.

 

I hope this was explained sufficiently. Now then, using that I'll show you guys the results. I usually only put in guys who have enough passes to qualify for passer rating or have 100 pass attempts, but I made one exception for this week.

 

Week 1 Rankings (Tiers are sorted by YPA)

 

Elite (3/3 Green)

Kevin Kolb

Tom Brady

Jay Cutler

Matt Stafford

Rex Grossman

Aaron Rodgers

Drew Brees

Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

Very Good (2/3 Green)

Cam Newton

Tony Romo

Chad Henne

Matt Hasslebeck

Joe Flacco

Mark Sanchez

 

Good (1/3 Green)

Luke McCown

Philip Rivers

 

Slightly Flawed (2/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Matt Schaub

Bruce Gradkowski

Andy Dalton

 

Hit or Miss (1/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Matt Ryan

Alex Smith

Josh Freeman

Jason Campbell

 

Average (All White)

 

Below Average (1/3 Red)

Kyle Orton

Matt Cassel

 

Does One Thing Well (1/3 Green 2/3 Red)

Eli Manning

Kerry Collins

Mike Vick

Colt McCoy

Tarvaris Jackson

 

Pretty Bad (2/3 Red)

Ben Roethlisberger

Sam Bradford

Donovan McNabb

 

Terrible (3/3 Red)

Derek Anderson and Jimmy Clausen are on the bench, thank god.

Edited by RazorStar

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You have some competition this year with the release of ESPNs QBR.

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RazorStar > ESPN :yep:

 

Except for the fact that Cassel doesn't look completely incompetent in Razor's ranking.

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Except for the fact that Cassel doesn't look completely incompetent in Razor's ranking.

 

Eh, like Razor said in the shoutbox, Cassel tends to do well in TD:INT ratio because he's too much of a pussy to take chances. And besides, everybody at TGP knows how much Cassel sucks anyway. :p

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This list looks pretty good, but I have to admit I laughed when I saw Grossman at the top tier, not because he didn't earn it this week (it's arguable whether he did or not), but because Redskins fans in my hometown would brag endlessly because of it. I'm very excited to see his ranking drop as the season progresses.

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Matt Hasselbeck very good? Kenny Britt saving his ass twice doesn't constitute as very good(well, on the 2nd TD Matt made a solid throw, but Kenny had to make one hell of a catch and then some acrobatics to get his feet in), IMO. That's the problem with stat based systems.

 

Not to mention, he missed a wide open Kenny Britt on the game losing INT. There wasn't a Jaguar within 10 yards of Kenny and he overthrows him by 15. Ugh.

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Another week down, and these rankings should start looking a lot better than week 1. It'll be a while before it settles down into something really accurate.

 

Week 2:

 

Elite (3/3 Green)

Tom Brady

Aaron Rodgers

Matt Stafford

Drew Brees

Jason Campbell

 

Very Good (2/3 Green)

Tony Romo

Kevin Kolb

Matt Schaub

Matt Hasslebeck

Philip Rivers

Rex Grossman

Andy Dalton

Alex Smith

 

Good (1/3 Green)

Eli Manning

Mark Sanchez

Josh Freeman

Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

Slightly Flawed (2/3 Green 1/3 Red)

 

Hit or Miss (1/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Cam Newton

Ben Roethlisberger

Jay Cutler

Michael Vick

Kyle Orton

Joe Flacco

Sam Bradford

Tarvaris Jackson

 

Average (All White)

Matt Ryan

 

Below Average (1/3 Red)

Chad Henne

 

Does One Thing Well (1/3 Green 2/3 Red)

Colt McCoy

Kerry Collins

 

Pretty Bad (2/3 Red)

Donovan McNabb

Matt Cassel

 

Terrible (3/3 Red)

Luke McCown

Edited by RazorStar
Updated for Monday Night

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Out of curiosity, where is Vick red and where is he green?

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Out of curiosity, where is Vick red and where is he green?

 

I'm obviously not Razor, but looking at Vick's stats, his AVG and Comp % are definitely below average and his TD/INT ratio is good.

 

Edit: Hasselbeck is actually deserving of that very good rank this week. Played a very good game.

Edited by .AirMcNair.

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Completion Percentage is in the red at 55% 57% would be the beginning of the white, TD:INT is in the green. His YPA is hovering in the average zone (7.15 YPA)

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Guest Phailadelphia

Man, Romo has got to be RIGHT THERE under elite tier.

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62.32% Completion percentage. The mark to shoot for is 65. The averages for all QB's are sort of ridiculous at the moment.

 

(62.12% Completion percentage, 1.84 TD:INT Ratio, 7.62 YPA)

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Matt Ryan has got to be real close to bumping up into the good spot. Dude threw 4 touchdowns against a defense that has 3 of the best corners in the league. Even with the 2 interceptions I suppose.

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Poor Luke McCown...what are Cam Newton's stats...?

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I'm happy where Romo is. As far other QBs, I definitely expect Campbell to fall out of the elite tier. Kolb is surprising many, and if things continue to go well for him I'll have to eat some crow there.

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Poor Luke McCown...what are Cam Newton's stats...?

 

Newton would be in the red in TD:INT, with 3:4, (not counting his two rushing TDs for passer rating, ofc).

 

Green would be YPA with 83 attempts for 854 yards, I think, so that's >10 YPA.

 

Average would be completion percentage, as it was at 67% in week 1 and 61% in week 2, I bet its somewhere around 63% after both weeks, (37 attempts in week 1, I think, and 46 in week 2).

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Thanatos got it, not gonna look up the exact stats, but that's how it's distributed so far.

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Week 3: (Before Monday Night)

 

Elite (3/3 Green)

Tom Brady

Matt Schaub

Aaron Rodgers

Matt Hasslebeck

Matt Stafford

Drew Brees

 

Very Good (2/3 Green)

Tony Romo

Eli Manning

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Jason Campbell

Alex Smith

 

Good (1/3 Green)

Cam Newton

Kevin Kolb

Mark Sanchez

Michael Vick

 

Slightly Flawed (2/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Philip Rivers

 

Hit or Miss (1/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Ben Roethlisberger

Chad Henne

Jay Cutler

Joe Flacco

 

Average (All White)

Rex Grossman

Matt Ryan

 

Below Average (1/3 Red)

Andy Dalton

Kyle Orton

Tarvaris Jackson

 

Does One Thing Well (1/3 Green 2/3 Red)

Josh Freeman

Sam Bradford

Colt McCoy

Matt Cassel

Kerry Collins

 

Pretty Bad (2/3 Red)

Donovan McNabb

 

Terrible (3/3 Red)

Luke McCown

Edited by RazorStar

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Wow, Tom Brady throws 4 picks and still elite?

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Yep. He may have 5 INT's on the season (on pace for 26), but 11 TD's (on pace for 59) will cancel that out.

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Post has been updated to reflect Monday Night, you can find it at the bottom of Page 1.

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Don't know if we have a QBR thread so I'm gonna post this here:

 

Joe Flacco had the highest QBR for week 3 at a very good 87.9 total QBR.

 

Week 3 QBR results

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Week 4 Rankings: Updated

 

Elite (3/3 Green)

Tom Brady

Aaron Rodgers

Matt Hasslebeck

Matt Schaub

Drew Brees

 

Very Good (2/3 Green)

Eli Manning

Tony Romo

Michael Vick

Jason Campbell

Matt Stafford

Alex Smith

 

Good (1/3 Green)

Cam Newton

Kevin Kolb

Chad Henne

Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

Slightly Flawed (2/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Philip Rivers

 

Hit or Miss (1/3 Green 1/3 Red)

Ben Roethlisberger

Joe Flacco

Josh Freeman

Donovan McNabb

Colt McCoy

 

Average (All White)

Andy Dalton

Matt Ryan

Rex Grossman

Kyle Orton

 

Below Average (1/3 Red)

Jay Cutler

Mark Sanchez

Tarvaris Jackson

 

Does One Thing Well (1/3 Green 2/3 Red)

Sam Bradford

Kerry Collins

 

Pretty Bad (2/3 Red)

Matt Cassel

Blaine Gabbert

 

Terrible (3/3 Red)

Edited by RazorStar

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