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TGP Pick'Em Week 9

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Current Standings:
Spartan 80-41 (Week 2 and 8 Winner)
Oochymp 79-42 (Week 1 Winner)
RazorStar 78-43
FartWaffles 76-45 (Week 6 Winner)
Bware 75-46
BradyFan 75-46 (Week 3 Winner)
Jayrus 75-46
SteVo 74-47 (Week 7 Winner)
Shotgun 74-47
Thanatos 73-48
PD2010 72-49
Vin 71-50 (Week 4 Winner)
Blots 70-51
ATL 69-52
KempBolt 69-52
Eefluxx 67-54
Favre4Ever 66-55
Trident 66-55
Bay 66-55
Zack 64-57
Campin 63-58
Chernobyl 63-58
Bucman 63-58

TGP Aggregate: 72-47-2 (73-48)

Missed a Week or More Group
Dutch 59-62
GA Eagle 54-67
Wattafan 52-69
JetsFan4Life 40-81 (Week 5 Winner)
Terry 36-85
Rain Man 32-89
Burfict Storm 26-95
eightnine 25-96
LOLBANGY 8-113
Hobos 6-115

Spreadsheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A4r5FfRo5QJwGbZm3vzMnyz57Oo1ATmwY4OAd0fIwKE/edit?usp=sharing

Week 9 Schedule
Byes: Atlanta, Buffalo, Chicago, Detroit, Green Bay, Tennessee

Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night?

Week 8 Prediction Awards:

TGP Knew it: KC > St. Louis 25-1

TGP Blew it: Washington > Dallas 0-26

Closest Match: Minnesota > Tampa Bay 13-13 (our second tie so far)

Most Overrated Teams: New Orleans (3-4) Expected to win 73.2% of their games and Seattle (4-3) expected to win 86.7% of their games.

Most Underrated Teams: Arizona (6-1) Expected to win 52.3% of their games and Buffalo (4-3) expected to win 33.0% of their games.

Dennis Green "They are who we thought they were!" Award: Washington Redskins (3-5) Expected to win 37.5% of their games (Exactly 3/8, holy shit.)

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Edited by Thanatos19

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

23

Edited by Tridentdawgpound

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 60

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I remember back when I was in third...

 

Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night?

64

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Oh um... I might have figured out a thing. Using team record and TGP prediction rates, I've got power rankings. Behold!

 

The Formula is pretty simple, Winning Percentage*.7 + Predicted Winning Percentage*.3. Sort them from highest to lowest, and you have a thing.

 

1. :Broncos:

2. :Cardinals:

3. :Patriots:

4. :Lions:

5. :Eagles:

6. :Cowboys:

7. :Packers:

8. :Seahawks:

9. :Colts:

10. :Chargers:

11. :Bengals:

12. :Steelers:

13. :Ravens:

14. :49ers:

15. :dolphins:

16. :Browns:

17. :Bills:

18. :Saints:

19. :Chiefs:

20. :Texans:

21. :Bears:

22. :panthers:

23. :Giants:

24. :Redskins:

25. :Vikings:

26. :Falcons:

27. :Titans:

28. :Rams:

29. :Bucs:

30. :Jets:

31. :jags:

32. :Raiders:

The Lions are the only team that strike me as being very much out of place. Not sure they'd be in the top-10 for me.

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: 65

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

 

Tiebreaker : 48

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New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET
St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: 48

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

 

21.75

Edited by Favre4Ever

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Changed from Seattle to Oakland, because Trident said I wouldn't.

  • Upvote 2

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 58

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Thursday:
New Orleans
@ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 55

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 52

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New Orleans

Tampa Bay

Dallas

Houston

Kansas City

Cincinnati

San Diego

Minnesota

San Francisco

Denver

Seattle

Baltimore

New York Giants

 

61

 

 

I've picked against the Steelers twice and they've won.

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Carolina
Cleveland
Arizona
Houston
Kansas City
Cincinnati
San Diego
Washington
San Francisco
New England
Seattle
Baltimore
Indianapolis

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 66

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

 

Tiebreaker: 64

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Changing it up.

 

:panthers:

:Browns:

:Cowboys:

:Eagles:

:Chiefs:

:Bengals:

:Chargers:

:Redskins:

:49ers:

:Broncos:

:Seahawks:

:Ravens:

:Colts:

 

56

Edited by Bay

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

 

Tiebreaker: 58

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 46

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET 58

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Thursday:
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:30 ET

Sunday:
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland 1:00 ET
Arizona @ Dallas 1:00 ET
Philadelphia @ Houston 1:00 ET
New York Jets @ Kansas City 1:00 ET
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati 1:00 ET
San Diego @ Miami 1:00 ET
Washington @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

St. Louis @ San Francisco 4:00 ET
Denver @ New England 4:30 ET
Oakland @ Seattle 4:30 ET

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 8:30 ET

Monday:
Indianapolis @ New York Giants 8:30 ET

Tiebreaker: How many points will be scored on Monday Night? 63

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